Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Apprentice Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

11:35

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Apprentice Handicap

Date 2024-11-13

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 2m 9.41s (slow by 8.11s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Obsidian Knight (IRE) Aidan Keeley · T J Kent	6/4F	Won
2nd	Crafter (IRE) Mason Paetel · Mark Loughnane	66/1	0.05
3rd	Francesi (IRE) Sam Garcia · S Woods	7/1	1.25
4th	Achillea (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Dean Ivory	7/1	0.3
5th	Moon Over The Sea (GB) Molly Gunn · Tony Carroll	50/1	1.25
6th	Star Pupil (GB) Ethan Jones · Richard Hughes	8/1	1.25
7th	Masqool (IRE) Tom Kiely-Marshall · James Evans	6/1	2
8th	Forge Valley Lad (GB) Georgia Dobie · David Simcock	16/1	1.25
9th	Yamamah (IRE) Owen Lewis · Ismail Mohammed	28/1	0.3
10th	Finn Russell (IRE) Ryan Kavanagh · Ian Williams	11/2	5.5
11th	Sun Festival (GB) Alice Bond · Joseph Parr	66/1	11

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Obsidian Knight Brown J:Aidan Keeley T:T J Kent	J:Aidan Keeley T:T J Kent	138	—	037674	68	86	41	11d	—	—	-17	15.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Won't mind the drop in trip into a bigger field off a career-low mark; on the shortlist
2 (5)	Finn Russell Brown J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	138	—	309123	68	76	-	—	—	—	+7	19.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Returns from a short break; has never won off a mark quite this high but hard to discount
6 (2)	Masqool Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:James Evans	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:James Evans	135	p	600507	65	85	60	21d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-7	8.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Better last time; the cheekpieces return and a step back up from 1m looks in his favour
3 (10)	Achillea Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Dean Ivory	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Dean Ivory	138	—	957716	68	75	57	13d	—	—	+4	14.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Didn't see out 1m3f last time but previously fine with this trip at Chelmsford; player
4 (11)	Francesi Grey J:Sam Garcia(7) T:S Woods	J:Sam Garcia(7) T:S Woods	136	—	368348	66	79	63	20d	—	—	-4	9.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Goes well here; will need some luck if dropped in as usual under an inexperienced partner
5 (8)	Star Pupil Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Richard Hughes	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Richard Hughes	135	—	6-5106	68	76	66	21d	—	—	-2	6.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
New trip is a possibility on pedigree but it's a step into the unknown; market useful
9 (7)	Forge Valley Lad Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:David Simcock	J:Georgia Dobie T:David Simcock	128	—	987444	58	74	64	46d	—	—	-2	3.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Last four wins have come here, three of them over 1m4f, but he has regressed this year
7 (6)	Yamamah Chestnut J:Owen Lewis(5) T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Owen Lewis(5) T:Ismail Mohammed	134	p	354797	67	73	13	22d	—	—	+2	5.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Struggled badly since returning from the UAE; would want to see good support
11 (4)	Moon Over The Sea Bay J:Molly Gunn(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(5) T:Tony Carroll	123	—	332753	53	78	52	149d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	6.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Fine on Polytrack but might just need this back from five months out
8 (3)	Crafter Bay J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	132	—	-63165	62	76	62	19d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+8	9.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Little room for manoeuvre off this mark under an inexperienced partner; each-way shout
10 (1)	Sun Festival Bay J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	125	p	23-860	55	81	32	27d	—	—	0	1.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Ran poorly three times since returning from an absence; some way down the pecking order

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Obsidian Knight	13/8	7/4	13/8	6/4	13/8
Finn Russell	7/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	7/1
Masqool	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Achillea	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Francesi	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	7/1
Star Pupil	8/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	8/1
Forge Valley Lad	14/1	18/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Yamamah	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Moon Over The Sea	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	33/1
Crafter	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Sun Festival	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Finn Russell

19.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

2nd

Obsidian Knight

15.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Achillea

14.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Crafter

9.3

OR: 3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Francesi

9.1

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Masqool

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Star Pupil

6.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Moon Over The Sea

6.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Yamamah

5.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Forge Valley Lad

3.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Sun Festival

1.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Obsidian Knight	68	86	41
Finn Russell	68	76	—
Achillea	68	75	57
Star Pupil	68	76	66
Yamamah	67	73	13
Francesi	66	79	63
Masqool	65	85	60
Crafter	62	76	62
Forge Valley Lad	58	74	64
Sun Festival	55	81	32
Moon Over The Sea	53	78	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Obsidian Knight	11d ago	Quick return
Achillea	13d ago	Quick return
Crafter	19d ago	Fit
Francesi	20d ago	Fit
Masqool	21d ago	Fit
Star Pupil	21d ago	Fit
Yamamah	22d ago	Fit
Sun Festival	27d ago	Fit
Forge Valley Lad	46d ago	Fresh
Moon Over The Sea	149d ago	Long break
Finn Russell	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.