Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:15

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

Date 2024-11-13

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 37.07s (slow by 2.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hitched (IRE) Luke Morris · David Simcock	9/2	Won
2nd	Drifts Away (GB) Aidan Keeley · T J Kent	6/4F	3.25
3rd	Book Of Life (GB) Richard Kingscote · Ian Williams	13/2	1.75
4th	Charlie Mason (GB) Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	17/2	.75
5th	Celebrating Ethel (IRE) Clifford Lee · Tony Carroll	22/1	.75
6th	Slaney Swagger (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	10/1	2.5
7th	I Can't Believe (GB) George Downing · David Evans	100/1	.75
8th	Edvard Grieg (IRE) Morgan Cole · Dylan Cunha	10/1	.5
9th	Green Power (GB) William Carson · John Gallagher	33/1	.75
10th	Outrace (IRE) Tyrese Cameron · Richard Hannon	28/1	.5
11th	Beauld As Brass (GB) Robert Havlin · George Baker	18/1	4.25
12th	Claxton Bay (GB) Jordan Williams · David Evans	25/1	14

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (11)	Drifts Away Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:T J Kent	J:Aidan Keeley T:T J Kent	130	—	-67311	61	77	65	11d	—	—	-4	33	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Progressive 3yo; it's not always as easy to dominate here and a 7lb rise demands more
10 (9)	Hitched Bay J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	130	h	-45954	59	77	54	25d	—	—	-8	6.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Another decent effort last time, having not had the breaks over C&D previously; player
2 (5)	Book Of Life Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	J:Richard Kingscote T:Ian Williams	133	p	000774	62	79	65	20d	—	—	-7	7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Sat close to a strong pace when 4th at Wolverhampton and is 2lb lower today; interesting
12 (10)	Edvard Grieg Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Dylan Cunha	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Dylan Cunha	130	—	475208	61	75	50	26d	—	—	0	7.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ex-Irish; run poorly twice since a fair debut for this yard and has it to prove now
3 (6)	Charlie Mason Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	133	—	723544	64	79	60	11d	—	—	-1	7.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Back on last winning mark if getting away and getting home at 1m, but that's the gamble
6 (12)	Slaney Swagger Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	131	p	283305	62	75	50	22d	—	—	0	7.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
String of costly defeats for Jim Bolger and a couple more for this yard; risky now
5 (4)	Celebrating Ethel Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	132	—	645034	61	76	52	23d	0W/0P 1 run	—	0	6.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Polytrack efforts in Ireland weren't exciting and this trip round here is a bare minimum
7 (8)	Beauld As Brass Bay J:Robert Havlin T:George Baker	J:Robert Havlin T:George Baker	131	—	-4306R	60	77	68	95d	—	—	0	3.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Third go beyond sprint trips; refused to race last time; questions to answer
4 (2)	Claxton Bay Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	133	—	883216	64	79	24	12d	—	—	+11	14.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Touch disappointing as favourite last time but maybe the ground was slower than ideal
9 (3)	Outrace Chestnut J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	131	—	640037	60	77	65	25d	—	—	+2	5.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Well handicapped; each-way claims but his strike-rate and losing run of 16 is offputting
1 (1)	Green Power Bay J:William Carson T:John Gallagher	J:William Carson T:John Gallagher	134	—	050730	63	75	57	35d	—	—	+3	6.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Getting on and less consistent now but 6lb below his last winning mark; each-way shout
8 (7)	I Can't Believe Bay J:George Downing T:David Evans	J:George Downing T:David Evans	131	—	85307	62	70	44	13d	—	—	+3	4.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Needs to brush things up at the start; Claxton Bay may be his yard's best chance

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Drifts Away	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/5	6/4
Hitched	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Book Of Life	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Edvard Grieg	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Charlie Mason	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Slaney Swagger	10/1	11/1	10/1	12/1	10/1
Celebrating Ethel	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Beauld As Brass	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Claxton Bay	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Outrace	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Green Power	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
I Can't Believe	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Drifts Away

OR: 2.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 11.8

6/4

2nd

Claxton Bay

14.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 10.4 Odds: 1

22/1

3rd

Charlie Mason

7.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Slaney Swagger

7.5

OR: 3 Form: 2.4 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Edvard Grieg

7.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Book Of Life

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Celebrating Ethel

6.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Hitched

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Green Power

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Outrace

5.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

25/1

I Can't Believe

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Beauld As Brass

3.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Charlie Mason	64	79	60
Claxton Bay	64	79	24
Green Power	63	75	57
Book Of Life	62	79	65
Slaney Swagger	62	75	50
I Can't Believe	62	70	44
Drifts Away	61	77	65
Edvard Grieg	61	75	50
Celebrating Ethel	61	76	52
Beauld As Brass	60	77	68
Outrace	60	77	65
Hitched	59	77	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Drifts Away	11d ago	Quick return
Charlie Mason	11d ago	Quick return
Claxton Bay	12d ago	Quick return
I Can't Believe	13d ago	Quick return
Book Of Life	20d ago	Fit
Slaney Swagger	22d ago	Fit
Celebrating Ethel	23d ago	Fit
Hitched	25d ago	Fit
Outrace	25d ago	Fit
Edvard Grieg	26d ago	Fit
Green Power	35d ago	Fit
Beauld As Brass	95d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.