Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:00

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-13

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 58.07s (slow by 1.07s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Happier (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	2/1	Won
2nd	Lewis Barnes (GB) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	7/2	1
3rd	Fortunate Star (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	15/8F	0.3
4th	Mehmo (IRE) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	12/1	1.5
5th	Stroxx (IRE) Sam James · Liam Bailey	40/1	1.75
6th	Brandy Station (IRE) Warren Fentiman · Lisa Williamson	20/1	0.2
7th	Belvoir Kitten (GB) Adam Farragher · Derek Shaw	25/1	3
8th	Al Najada (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	40/1	.5
9th	Lochaber (GB) Harrison Shaw · Scott Dixon	20/1	1.5
10th	Captain Bentley (GB) James Sullivan · Michael Mullineaux	80/1	9

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Happier Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	t	524745	58	73	-	15d	—	—	-16	11.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Infrequent winner but she looks well worth a crack at both 5f and AW; interesting
6 (7)	Fortunate Star Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	132	—	593231	55	74	55	6d	—	—	-3	25.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Dead-heated in a tight finish over C&D last week; 3lb higher with penalty; yard flying
4 (1)	Lewis Barnes Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	132	tb	342516	55	70	55	18d	—	—	-4	15.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Kempton win last month (6f) before midfield finish at Chelmsford; drops back in trip
2 (5)	Mehmo Chestnut J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	134	v	716485	57	72	19	14d	—	—	-1	5.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Conditions fine and he looked to be on the way back to form at Nottingham latest; chance
7 (2)	Lochaber Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Scott Dixon	J:Harrison Shaw T:Scott Dixon	130	b	487977	53	69	49	6d	—	—	-3	2.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Down in the weights but retains some ability; could go well at a price
8 (11)	Brandy Station Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Lisa Williamson	130	p	95-165	53	72	41	20d	—	—	-2	1.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won a weak four-runner classified race in June; less good twice since; others appeal more
11 (3)	Belvoir Kitten Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Derek Shaw	J:Adam Farragher T:Derek Shaw	123	v	498734	46	65	47	20d	—	—	0	3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Exposed 17-race maiden; conditions no problem but easy enough to swerve
5 (9)	Al Najada Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	132	h	5950-8	55	67	30	27d	—	—	0	1.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Can step up on last month's reappearance/stable debut but he needs to; others are safer
9 (4)	Stroxx Bay J:Sam James T:Liam Bailey	J:Sam James T:Liam Bailey	126	p	234153	49	70	60	216d	—	—	+7	9.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Creditable third when last seen in April; record of 1-51 hardly bet compelling though
10 (10)	Captain Bentley Bay J:James Sullivan T:Michael Mullineaux	J:James Sullivan T:Michael Mullineaux	123	b	537978	46	66	-	75d	—	—	0	0.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Exposed maiden for whom a change of headgear isn't enough to tempt
NR (6)	Beneficiary Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Liam Bailey	J:NON-RUNNER T:Liam Bailey	133	b	530928	56	-	-	8d	—	—	—	5.6	—	—
Three AW wins last winter; good run here last month but form dipped at Newcastle last week

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Happier	2/1	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1
Fortunate Star	7/4	2/1	7/4	15/8	7/4
Lewis Barnes	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Mehmo	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Lochaber	16/1	18/1	16/1	20/1	14/1
Brandy Station	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Belvoir Kitten	33/1	25/1	33/1	25/1	40/1
Al Najada	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Stroxx	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Captain Bentley	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1
Beneficiary	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fortunate Star

25.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Lewis Barnes

15.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

3rd

Happier

11.4

OR: 2 Form: 1 Odds: 8.4

2/1

Stroxx

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Mehmo

5.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Beneficiary

5.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0

—

Belvoir Kitten

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Lochaber

2.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Brandy Station

1.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Al Najada

1.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Captain Bentley

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Happier	58	73	—
Mehmo	57	72	19
Beneficiary	56	—	—
Fortunate Star	55	74	55
Lewis Barnes	55	70	55
Al Najada	55	67	30
Lochaber	53	69	49
Brandy Station	53	72	41
Stroxx	49	70	60
Belvoir Kitten	46	65	47
Captain Bentley	46	66	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fortunate Star	6d ago	Quick return
Lochaber	6d ago	Quick return
Beneficiary	8d ago	Quick return
Mehmo	14d ago	Fit
Happier	15d ago	Fit
Lewis Barnes	18d ago	Fit
Brandy Station	20d ago	Fit
Belvoir Kitten	20d ago	Fit
Al Najada	27d ago	Fit
Captain Bentley	75d ago	Fresh
Stroxx	216d ago	Long break