BetMGM: It's Showtime / EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Lingfield (AW)

13:05

Date 2024-11-13

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Charming Life Chestnut J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	4	-	77	-	12d	—	—	-19	8.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Rather drawn away from the action on his 7f Newmarket debut 12 days ago; shortlisted
1 (9)	Cape Breton Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	45	-	82	-	39d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
450,000gns yearling; evidently felt capable of better and has the edge in experience now
12 (5)	Lady Vivian Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Market will be the best guide for a yard in fine late-season and also saddles Cape Breton
6 (1)	Killenaule Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Ollie Sangster	J:Jamie Spencer T:Ollie Sangster	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Trainer has enjoyed a fine season with 2yos, mainly on turf; an interesting newcomer
3 (11)	Enacting Bay J:David Egan T:James Fanshawe	J:David Egan T:James Fanshawe	133	—	5	-	55	42	54d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Badly needed his debut Kempton experience in September; will have learned plenty
7 (7)	Night Step Brown J:Richard Kingscote T:Owen Burrows	J:Richard Kingscote T:Owen Burrows	133	t	07	-	79	34	33d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
May be one for handicaps in due course; interesting to see how he goes in the market
11 (6)	Jet Black Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	78	-	33d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
40-1 for her Newmarket debut a month ago (7f) when well held; may want more time
4 (12)	Gemmari Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well related; the outside stall is never ideal for a newcomer and the market will guide
9 (2)	Rolling Luck Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Out of a 1m4f Group 2 winner; trainer is an excellent 5-14 with 2yos on the AW this season
8 (8)	Padua Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Hughie Morrison	J:Clifford Lee T:Hughie Morrison	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Trainer wouldn't be noted for newcomers, so no surprise were this one to need more time
NR (10)	Happy Banner Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Walker	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Walker	133	—	7	-	65	-	21d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Should do better but was easy to back and beaten some way at Newmarket
NR (3)	Royal Favour Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
175,000gns yearling who's the first foal of a 1m-1m2f Group 1 winner in Peru; interesting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Charming Life	2/1	15/8	2/1	2/1	2/1
Cape Breton	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Lady Vivian	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Killenaule	8/1	17/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Enacting	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Night Step	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Jet Black	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gemmari	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Rolling Luck	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Padua	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Happy Banner	-	-	-	-	-
Royal Favour	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Charming Life

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

2/1

2nd

Cape Breton

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Lady Vivian

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Killenaule

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Enacting

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Jet Black

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Night Step

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Gemmari

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Rolling Luck

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Padua

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Happy Banner

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Royal Favour

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Charming Life	—	77	—
Cape Breton	—	82	—
Lady Vivian	—	—	—
Killenaule	—	—	—
Enacting	—	55	42
Night Step	—	79	34
Jet Black	—	78	—
Gemmari	—	—	—
Rolling Luck	—	—	—
Padua	—	—	—
Happy Banner	—	65	—
Royal Favour	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Charming Life	12d ago	Quick return
Happy Banner	21d ago	Fit
Night Step	33d ago	Fit
Jet Black	33d ago	Fit
Cape Breton	39d ago	Fit
Enacting	54d ago	Fresh
Lady Vivian	—	—
Killenaule	—	—
Gemmari	—	—
Rolling Luck	—	—
Padua	—	—
Royal Favour	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.