Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Nursery Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:30

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-11-16

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 15.51s (slow by 3.61s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Ziggy's Ariel (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	22/1	Won
2nd	Baileys Jubilation (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	12/1	0.2
3rd	Mighty Ruler (IRE) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	9/2	0.2
4th	Jane Garfield (IRE) Liam Keniry · J S Moore	28/1	.5
5th	Rogue Bullet (IRE) Hector Crouch · Jack Jones	15/8F	.5
6th	Choreographic (GB) Billy Loughnane · William Haggas	100/30	0.2
7th	Mister McGregor (IRE) David Probert · Andrew Balding	14/1	1
8th	Bantz (IRE) Grace McEntee · Gemma Tutty	50/1	1.25
9th	Monomyth (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	6/1	0.3
10th	Final Angel (IRE) Warren Fentiman · Richard Fahey	50/1	1.75
11th	Mrbluesky (IRE) Ethan Tindall · Richard Fahey	33/1	0.3
12th	Bob The Bandit (GB) Ethan Jones · Bill Turner	40/1	10

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (9)	Rogue Bullet Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jack Jones	J:Hector Crouch T:Jack Jones	130	b	446572	70	82	56	24d	—	—	-9	18.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Ran very well in first-time blinkers at Kempton (AW debut) most recently; good chance
4 (6)	Choreographic Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:William Haggas	J:Billy Loughnane T:William Haggas	133	b	053	73	78	68	17d	—	—	-3	13.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Heading in the right direction; the type to do well in handicaps; respected
5 (8)	Mighty Ruler Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	132	tp	686	72	76	-	94d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-6	10.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Summer novice form on turf has substance; had gelding/wind operations since
2 (7)	Monomyth Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	135	—	876125	75	80	76	71d	—	—	+6	18.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Solid form in 6f nurseries comprises a win and good second; not dismissed
3 (11)	Baileys Jubilation Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	410454	75	81	73	19d	—	—	+2	10.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
1-1 in Class 5 (turf novice win); has possibilities back at this level
8 (10)	Mister McGregor Chestnut J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	129	—	273007	69	80	57	19d	—	—	+1	7.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has inconsistent form but best efforts give him place claims
1 (12)	Ziggy's Ariel Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	135	—	41756	75	80	41	19d	—	—	+5	10.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has regressed since Hamilton win; something to prove
12 (3)	Mrbluesky Bay J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	121	—	5378	61	76	-	126d	—	—	+1	5.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Needs improvement for gelding operation and change of surface
9 (1)	Bob The Bandit Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Bill Turner	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Bill Turner	127	p	2270	67	76	39	189d	—	—	+6	9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Regressed from Brocklesby effort in the spring; market can guide
7 (5)	Jane Garfield Bay J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	129	—	432356	69	75	-	79d	—	—	+6	9.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Needs improvement to open her account on debut for new yard
11 (2)	Final Angel Grey J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	122	—	394857	62	79	50	26d	—	—	+1	3.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Could go well off this reduced mark and with Warren Fentiman taking off 7lb
10 (4)	Bantz Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Gemma Tutty	124	—	426009	64	69	66	19d	—	—	+3	5.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Failed to revive for new yard last time; best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Rogue Bullet	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	9/4
Choreographic	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Mighty Ruler	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Monomyth	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	6/1
Baileys Jubilation	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	17/2
Mister McGregor	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Ziggy's Ariel	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Mrbluesky	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Bob The Bandit	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Jane Garfield	33/1	40/1	40/1	28/1	28/1
Final Angel	33/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1
Bantz	66/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rogue Bullet

18.4

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Monomyth

18.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Choreographic

13.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

Ziggy's Ariel

10.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Baileys Jubilation

10.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 2 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Mighty Ruler

10.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Jane Garfield

9.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Bob The Bandit

OR: 4.3 Form: 4 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Mister McGregor

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Mrbluesky

5.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Bantz

5.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Final Angel

3.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Monomyth	75	80	76
Baileys Jubilation	75	81	73
Ziggy's Ariel	75	80	41
Choreographic	73	78	68
Mighty Ruler	72	76	—
Rogue Bullet	70	82	56
Mister McGregor	69	80	57
Jane Garfield	69	75	—
Bob The Bandit	67	76	39
Bantz	64	69	66
Final Angel	62	79	50
Mrbluesky	61	76	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Choreographic	17d ago	Fit
Baileys Jubilation	19d ago	Fit
Mister McGregor	19d ago	Fit
Ziggy's Ariel	19d ago	Fit
Bantz	19d ago	Fit
Rogue Bullet	24d ago	Fit
Final Angel	26d ago	Fit
Monomyth	71d ago	Fresh
Jane Garfield	79d ago	Fresh
Mighty Ruler	94d ago	Long break
Mrbluesky	126d ago	Long break
Bob The Bandit	189d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.