Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:18

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-11-16

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 41.54s (slow by 4.54s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Tasever (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Patrick Morris	100/30	Won
2nd	Pop Favorite (GB) Luke Morris · Scott Dixon	18/1	4.75
3rd	Likeashadow (IRE) Tom Eaves · Alan Brown	22/1	0.1
4th	Jumeira Vision (IRE) Sam James · Katie Scott	6/1	0.3
5th	Mambha (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods	17/2	.5
6th	Jez Bomb (GB) Shane Gray · Sam England	2/1F	1.5
7th	Absolutely Buzzing (IRE) Sean Levey · Michael Wigham	4/1	3.5
8th	Kraken Diamond (IRE) Amie Waugh · Jim Goldie	28/1	2.75

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Jez Bomb Bay J:Shane Gray T:Sam England	J:Shane Gray T:Sam England	135	p	241611	64	77	55	18d	—	—	+4	32.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Four wins since cheekpieces went on, most recently over C&D; should go well again
2 (7)	Absolutely Buzzing Bay J:Sean Levey T:Michael Wigham	J:Sean Levey T:Michael Wigham	134	—	8-8613	63	74	55	35d	—	—	-10	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Lightly raced; followed 50-1 win with good third; major claims if handling this new track
6 (4)	Tasever Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	126	p	883621	53	74	67	11d	—	—	+1	20.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Finally broke his duck here 11 days ago; nudged up 3lb but should remain competitive
5 (6)	Jumeira Vision Bay J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	131	—	547044	58	73	49	25d	—	—	-7	5.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Shaped as if emerging from a quiet spell when fourth over C&D; has to be high on the list
3 (8)	Mambha Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	133	p	284291	62	74	49	44d	—	—	+9	17.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Off the mark at the tenth attempt over C&D in October; in the mix again off 5lb higher
4 (5)	Likeashadow Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	132	b	332250	61	71	63	18d	—	—	+4	8.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Course regular; might have needed last run after a break; not discounted
7 (2)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	123	—	455167	50	75	59	11d	—	—	+3	5.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Goes well here but last two runs have been below par; needs to bounce back
8 (1)	Kraken Diamond Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	119	—	254667	46	72	68	217d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
12-race maiden; risky but has joined a fine stable and market support would be significant

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Jez Bomb	15/8	7/4	15/8
Absolutely Buzzing	7/2	7/2	7/2
Tasever	10/3	10/3	10/3
Jumeira Vision	11/2	11/2	11/2
Mambha	10/1	9/1	9/1
Likeashadow	22/1	20/1	22/1
Pop Favorite	28/1	28/1	28/1
Kraken Diamond	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jez Bomb

32.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 20 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Tasever

20.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 14.4 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Mambha

17.9

OR: 3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Absolutely Buzzing

8.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Likeashadow

8.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Pop Favorite

5.8

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Jumeira Vision

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Kraken Diamond

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jez Bomb	64	77	55
Absolutely Buzzing	63	74	55
Mambha	62	74	49
Likeashadow	61	71	63
Jumeira Vision	58	73	49
Tasever	53	74	67
Pop Favorite	50	75	59
Kraken Diamond	46	72	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tasever	11d ago	Quick return
Pop Favorite	11d ago	Quick return
Jez Bomb	18d ago	Fit
Likeashadow	18d ago	Fit
Jumeira Vision	25d ago	Fit
Absolutely Buzzing	35d ago	Fit
Mambha	44d ago	Fit
Kraken Diamond	217d ago	Long break