John Rogerson Memorial Handicap Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier)

Fontwell

12:55

Date 2024-11-17

Distance 2m5f135y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Winning Time 5m 36.24s (slow by 11.74s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Boys Of Wexford (GB) David Noonan · Henry Oliver	6/1	Won
2nd	Joe Cotton (IRE) Lorcan Williams · Jeremy Scott	5/2	4.25
3rd	West Orchard (IRE) Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	6/4F	0.1
4th	Mister Upton (GB) Rex Dingle · Chris Gordon	5/1	1
5th	I Love You Sivola (FR) Lorcan Murtagh · Helen Nelmes	20/1	1.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Lightonthewing (IRE) Lucy Gardner · Sue Gardner	20/1

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	West Orchard Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	166	tp	326-11	95	103	93	9d	—	—	-12	21.9	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Up 8lb and without Freddie Gingell's 3lb claims, but looks sure to give his running
2	Joe Cotton Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Jeremy Scott	J:Lorcan Williams T:Jeremy Scott	167	p	813-42	96	103	68	17d	—	—	-6	19.1	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Ran well behind an improver at Stratford and won't mind this forecast drier ground
4	Mister Upton Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	157	—	P94-14	86	104	91	175d	—	—	-3	13.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
First and fourth when switching to fences here in May; can no doubt improve again
6	Boys Of Wexford Bay J:David Noonan T:Henry Oliver	J:David Noonan T:Henry Oliver	149	p	6322-P	78	102	94	29d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	9.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has the form to feature but strike-rate of 1-19 is a negative
1	Lightonthewing Bay J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	168	—	123-1F	97	100	45	165d	—	—	+8	13.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Five chase wins include one over C&D; fair chance provided this isn't needed
5	I Love You Sivola Bay J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Helen Nelmes	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Helen Nelmes	149	tp	2U-P4P	78	102	82	9d	—	—	+4	8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Didn't jump well before pulling up in West Orchard's race here and on a slippery slope

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
West Orchard	6/4	11/8	6/4	6/4	6/4
Joe Cotton	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	85/40
Mister Upton	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	5/1
Boys Of Wexford	15/2	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Lightonthewing	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
I Love You Sivola	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

West Orchard

21.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

6/4

2nd

Joe Cotton

19.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

5/2

3rd

Mister Upton

13.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Lightonthewing

13.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Boys Of Wexford

9.9

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

I Love You Sivola

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lightonthewing	97	100	45
Joe Cotton	96	103	68
West Orchard	95	103	93
Mister Upton	86	104	91
Boys Of Wexford	78	102	94
I Love You Sivola	78	102	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
West Orchard	9d ago	Quick return
I Love You Sivola	9d ago	Quick return
Joe Cotton	17d ago	Fit
Boys Of Wexford	29d ago	Fit
Lightonthewing	165d ago	Long break
Mister Upton	175d ago	Long break