Stay Safe Players With BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

4:15

Stay Safe Players With BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-11-18

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (4)	Saxon Raider gr J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	5271	75	81	62	14d	—	—	+2	26.2	5/2 29%
Scored readily at Wolver two weeks ago; up 8lb but he's not taken lightly in current mood
7 (3)	Solar Army b J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	130	—	7576	70	76	67	19d	—	—	-9	10.7	10/3 23%
Fair maiden who posted a creditable sixth at Kempton (7f) 19 days ago; shortlisted
2 (2)	Reddeef b J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	135	p	6352	75	80	70	19d	—	—	-1	18.5	10/3 23%
Cheekpieces on when a good second at Kempton 19 days ago; he ought to be in the shake-up
3 (5)	Worthington Lake b J:Hector Crouch T:Clive Cox	J:Hector Crouch T:Clive Cox	133	—	043	73	80	71	19d	—	—	+1	11.8	7/1 13%
Brought along steadily, third at Kempton 19 days ago; can do better still now h'capping
5 (6)	Cracking Man b J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	131	p	927004	71	83	58	21d	—	—	+2	7.9	14/1 7%
Solid fourth at Newcastle three weeks ago; must enter calculations with cheekpieces added
8 (8)	Maids Head b J:Daniel Muscutt T:Marco Botti	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Marco Botti	127	—	3352	67	80	61	14d	—	—	+7	13.4	16/1 6%
Very good second at Wolver two weeks ago; ought to be thereabouts once more
4 (1)	Top Bins ch J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	332	73	80	-	31d	—	—	+10	16	18/1 5%
Best run when second at Redcar last month; can go well again up in trip for nursery debut
6 (7)	On Key b J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	130	—	263	70	82	69	18d	—	—	+7	11.7	22/1 4%
Advanced his form when third at Chelmsford 18 days ago; interesting handicap debutant

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Saxon Raider	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Solar Army	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Reddeef	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Worthington Lake	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1	13/2
Cracking Man	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Maids Head	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	16/1
Top Bins	12/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
On Key	22/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Saxon Raider

26.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 7.4

5/2

2nd

Reddeef

18.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Top Bins

OR: 5.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Maids Head

13.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.4 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Worthington Lake

11.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

7/1

On Key

11.7

OR: 5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Solar Army

10.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Cracking Man

7.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Saxon Raider Top Rated	75	81	62
Reddeef	75	80	70
Worthington Lake	73	80	71
Top Bins	73	80	—
Cracking Man	71	83	58
Solar Army	70	76	67
On Key	70	82	69
Maids Head	67	80	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Saxon Raider	14d ago	Fit
Maids Head	14d ago	Fit
On Key	18d ago	Fit
Solar Army	19d ago	Fit
Reddeef	19d ago	Fit
Worthington Lake	19d ago	Fit
Cracking Man	21d ago	Fit
Top Bins	31d ago	Fit