Stay In Control With BetUK Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

6:30

Stay In Control With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-18

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (2)	True Promise ch J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Kevin Ryan	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Kevin Ryan	136	—	988211	83	96	78	11d	—	—	+14	33.5	10/3 23%
Up 2lb for Newcastle win but Oisin McSweeney takes off 3lb; now 4-6 on AW; respected
3 (6)	Aberama Gold b J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	135	b	803740	82	98	88	23d	—	—	0	12.5	6/1 14%
Usually runs in better races; drops back in class off a stone below last winning mark
7 (10)	Chief Mankato b J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	134	tp	406522	81	97	81	16d	—	—	+6	20.3	6/1 14%
Threatening to regain the winning thread, having gone close twice since switched to AW
2 (3)	Smart Vision b J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	135	p	141762	82	91	45	24d	—	—	+6	20	13/2 13%
Ran creditably dropped back to 6f last time, taking form figures over this trip to 332
5 (5)	Tan Rapido br J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	134	—	21-293	81	95	80	37d	—	—	0	10.6	15/2 12%
Lightly raced 3yo; solid third upped to 6f at Chelmsford last month; clear possibilities
9 (8)	Rock Opera b J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	132	—	340032	79	96	77	25d	—	—	+7	17	17/2 11%
Finished 1l second to True Promise last time; now better off with that rival; in the mix
4 (1)	Rizg b J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	134	v	/99075	81	94	85	12d	—	—	+2	10	11/1 8%
Steadily finding his form for new stable; interesting off a reduced mark back at 6f
11 (4)	Fiscal Policy ch J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	127	—	131551	74	96	82	20d	—	—	+15	21.5	12/1 8%
Record of 3-7 for new yard; steadily improving but this step up to Class 4 is an unknown
6 (11)	Many A Star ch J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	134	t	997373	81	95	69	16d	—	—	+9	13.3	25/1 4%
Well exposed 7yo but is competitively weighted off last winning mark
8 (9)	Batal Zabeel b J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	132	v	717074	79	96	-	21d	—	—	+7	10.1	33/1 3%
May rebound with headgear reapplied; second start for new yard
10 (7)	Giorgio M b J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	129	t	134990	76	95	78	12d	—	—	+5	8	33/1 3%
Dual 7f scorer who ran well in last 6f attempt; others have better claims on recent form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
True Promise	3/1	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Aberama Gold	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Chief Mankato	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Smart Vision	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Tan Rapido	13/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	13/2
Rock Opera	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Rizg	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Fiscal Policy	10/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Many A Star	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Batal Zabeel	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Giorgio M	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

True Promise

33.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 19.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Fiscal Policy

21.5

OR: 6 Form: 13.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Chief Mankato

20.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4

6/1

Smart Vision

OR: 8 Form: 8 Odds: 4

13/2

Rock Opera

OR: 7.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Many A Star

13.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Aberama Gold

12.5

OR: 8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Tan Rapido

10.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Batal Zabeel

10.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Rizg

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Giorgio M

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
True Promise Top Rated	83	96	78
Aberama Gold	82	98	88
Smart Vision	82	91	45
Chief Mankato	81	97	81
Tan Rapido	81	95	80
Rizg	81	94	85
Many A Star	81	95	69
Rock Opera	79	96	77
Batal Zabeel	79	96	—
Giorgio M	76	95	78
Fiscal Policy	74	96	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
True Promise	11d ago	Quick return
Rizg	12d ago	Quick return
Giorgio M	12d ago	Quick return
Chief Mankato	16d ago	Fit
Many A Star	16d ago	Fit
Fiscal Policy	20d ago	Fit
Batal Zabeel	21d ago	Fit
Aberama Gold	23d ago	Fit
Smart Vision	24d ago	Fit
Rock Opera	25d ago	Fit
Tan Rapido	37d ago	Fit