Unibet - Lets Talk About Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap

Kempton (AW)

5:00

Date 2024-11-20

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,757

Runners (5)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (2)	Dante's Lad br/gr J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	135	t	339	83	87	-	53d	—	—	-11	22.5	13/8 38%
A market move would look highly significant on yard/British/nursery debut
1 (1)	Wild Nature b J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	135	—	2320	83	91	-	25d	—	—	-7	24.8	2/1 33%
Best not to dwell on latest run and can quickly bounce back
4 (4)	Spirit Lead Me b J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hughes	J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hughes	131	—	800113	79	89	73	14d	—	—	+9	28	7/2 22%
New mark didn't look beyond him here last time and returning to 1m from 7f could help
3 (3)	Montpellier Green b J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	132	b	04413	80	89	-	32d	—	—	+13	19.4	14/1 7%
Good nursery form in Ireland; changed hands for 19,000gns last month and market can guide
5 (5)	Naturally gr J:Luke Morris T:Ed Walker	J:Luke Morris T:Ed Walker	121	—	775	69	86	76	21d	—	—	+2	5.8	25/1 4%
One extra furlong for this nursery debut might not make enough of a difference

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dante's Lad	6/4	6/4	6/4	13/8	11/8
Wild Nature	7/4	7/4	7/4	6/4	2/1
Spirit Lead Me	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2	3/1
Montpellier Green	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Naturally	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spirit Lead Me

OR: 7.3 Form: 15 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Wild Nature

24.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 10

2/1

3rd

Dante's Lad

22.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 10.6

13/8

Montpellier Green

19.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Naturally

5.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dante's Lad Top Rated	83	87	—
Wild Nature	83	91	—
Montpellier Green	80	89	—
Spirit Lead Me	79	89	73
Naturally	69	86	76

Last Run