Stay In Control With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

3:39

Stay In Control With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-22

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (4)	Humble Spark b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	140	—	131423	64	72	61	21d	—	—	-6	22.5	85/40 32%
Ultra-consistent since the spring including two wins here; likely to run his race again
1 (10)	Fast Fred b J:Harrison Shaw T:Phillip Makin	J:Harrison Shaw T:Phillip Makin	140	—	766311	64	75	45	15d	—	—	+6	28.7	3/1 25%
Bids for a hat-trick off a 5lb higher mark; may not have finished improving just yet
3 (7)	Laudable b J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Tristan Davidson	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Tristan Davidson	139	p	124222	63	69	54	25d	—	—	+2	21	4/1 20%
Running well since completing a hat-trick on turf; runner-up over C&D the last twice
7 (6)	Oriental Art b J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	136	—	323702	60	72	54	11d	—	—	0	13	17/2 11%
Runner-up last time, but a record of 1-32 makes him hard to warm to
4 (9)	Galahad Threepwood b J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	139	—	705994	63	68	63	35d	—	—	-1	4.9	20/1 5%
Not as good as he was under either code; best watched for now
6 (5)	Carlos Felix ch J:Andrew Elliott T:Stella Barclay	J:Andrew Elliott T:Stella Barclay	138	—	18-666	62	75	-	157d	—	—	-2	4.9	16/1 6%
Off the same mark as when successful over C&D this time last year after a similar absence
9 (11)	Lindwall ch J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	131	tp	655439	55	68	37	18d	—	—	0	4.7	22/1 4%
No win since autumn 2021 and a long time since he ran over a trip this short
8 (1)	Tilsitt b J:Clifford Lee T:R Mike Smith	J:Clifford Lee T:R Mike Smith	136	tp	028833	60	69	-	16d	—	—	+6	9.7	28/1 3%
Proving expensive to follow and down the field here yesterday
5 (2)	Dundory b J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	138	—	-74480	62	71	19	—	—	—	+1	3.7	66/1 1%
Losing run up to 20 and 0-16 on the AW; change of stable needs to make a big difference
10 (8)	Bamboo Bay b J:William Pyle(3) T:Tracy Waggott	J:William Pyle(3) T:Tracy Waggott	126	—	234160	50	69	-	—	—	—	+4	6.2	66/1 1%
Has beaten a total of one rival in three starts around here; look elsewhere
11 (3)	Typewritten gr J:Tom Eaves T:Ewan Whillans	J:Tom Eaves T:Ewan Whillans	125	p	-43959	49	69	30	32d	—	—	0	1.4	80/1 1%
Losing run up to 16 despite a falling mark; little appeal
12 (12)	Star Of Markinch b J:James Sullivan T:Gary Rutherford	J:James Sullivan T:Gary Rutherford	123	—	469534	47	71	-	16d	—	—	+1	2.6	66/1 1%
0-24 under rules and this is a very belated AW debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Humble Spark	15/8	7/4	85/40	15/8	85/40
Fast Fred	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Laudable	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3
Oriental Art	17/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	13/2
Galahad Threepwood	20/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Carlos Felix	10/1	12/1	12/1	16/1	11/1
Lindwall	22/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Tilsitt	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Dundory	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Bamboo Bay	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Typewritten	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Star Of Markinch	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fast Fred

28.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Humble Spark

22.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 8.9

85/40

3rd

Laudable

OR: 3.3 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Oriental Art

OR: 2.5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 3.6

17/2

Tilsitt

9.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Bamboo Bay

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Galahad Threepwood

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Carlos Felix

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Lindwall

4.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Dundory

3.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Star Of Markinch

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Typewritten

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Humble Spark Top Rated	64	72	61
Fast Fred	64	75	45
Laudable	63	69	54
Galahad Threepwood	63	68	63
Carlos Felix	62	75	—
Dundory	62	71	19
Oriental Art	60	72	54
Tilsitt	60	69	—
Lindwall	55	68	37
Bamboo Bay	50	69	—
Typewritten	49	69	30
Star Of Markinch	47	71	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Oriental Art	11d ago	Quick return
Fast Fred	15d ago	Fit
Tilsitt	16d ago	Fit
Star Of Markinch	16d ago	Fit
Lindwall	18d ago	Fit
Humble Spark	21d ago	Fit
Laudable	25d ago	Fit
Typewritten	32d ago	Fit
Galahad Threepwood	35d ago	Fit
Carlos Felix	157d ago	Long break
Dundory	—	—
Bamboo Bay	—	—