Stay Safe Players With BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:10

Stay Safe Players With BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-11-22

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (9)	Hundred Caps ch J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	135	—	035	70	78	-	76d	—	—	-6	12.3	4/1 20%
Showed ability in his last two starts on turf; dam was a smart performer on the AW
7 (8)	Ghostman ch J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	132	b	508422	67	79	69	17d	—	—	-1	18.5	7/2 22%
Closely matched with Bow Street on latest C&D running; should be bang there once again
3 (2)	Bow Street b J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	133	—	847661	68	79	65	17d	—	—	+2	19.7	4/1 20%
Beat Ghostman by half a length over C&D 17 days ago; one of the likelier winners
10 (6)	Blue Lakota ch J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	122	—	6902	57	80	44	21d	—	—	-3	10.8	13/2 13%
Just beaten on nursery/AW debut here three weeks ago; return to 6f may suit; respected
2 (11)	Kodi Fire br J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	135	—	9453	70	73	46	15d	—	—	0	11.1	8/1 11%
Has shown some ability, but still needs to take a step forward now switched to a nursery
6 (10)	Harswell Ruby b J:Clifford Lee T:Roger Fell	J:Clifford Lee T:Roger Fell	132	—	36525	67	78	58	15d	—	—	+1	11	9/1 10%
Went close at Southwell last month and latest defeat was in a better race
5 (5)	Beerwah b J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	132	—	3604	67	78	-	35d	—	—	0	7.1	14/1 7%
Signs of ability in four starts on turf, but still more needed on nursery/AW debut
4 (7)	Dandy Magic ch J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	132	—	43780	67	75	-	16d	—	—	+1	6.5	18/1 5%
Beaten a very long way on stable debut; needs a transformation switched to the AW
8 (3)	Auntie Jo gr J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	130	—	54478	65	69	33	25d	—	—	+2	4.2	66/1 1%
Failed to beat a rival on nursery/AW debut over C&D last month; enough to prove
9 (4)	What What What b J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	126	—	7968	61	75	-	13d	—	—	+1	3.5	66/1 1%
Not set the world alight in four start on turf; best watched on nursery/AW debut
11 (1)	Good Reward ch J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	114	—	877	49	72	42	18d	—	—	-2	0.6	80/1 1%
Shown little in three starts; open to improvement now handicapping but it will be needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Hundred Caps	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Ghostman	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Bow Street	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3
Blue Lakota	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	13/2
Kodi Fire	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Harswell Ruby	17/2	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Beerwah	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Dandy Magic	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Auntie Jo	50/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
What What What	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Good Reward	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bow Street

19.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Ghostman

18.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Hundred Caps

12.3

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Kodi Fire

11.1

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Harswell Ruby

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Blue Lakota

10.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

13/2

Beerwah

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Dandy Magic

6.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Auntie Jo

4.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

What What What

3.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Good Reward

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hundred Caps Top Rated	70	78	—
Kodi Fire	70	73	46
Bow Street	68	79	65
Ghostman	67	79	69
Harswell Ruby	67	78	58
Beerwah	67	78	—
Dandy Magic	67	75	—
Auntie Jo	65	69	33
What What What	61	75	—
Blue Lakota	57	80	44
Good Reward	49	72	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
What What What	13d ago	Quick return
Kodi Fire	15d ago	Fit
Harswell Ruby	15d ago	Fit
Dandy Magic	16d ago	Fit
Ghostman	17d ago	Fit
Bow Street	17d ago	Fit
Good Reward	18d ago	Fit
Blue Lakota	21d ago	Fit
Auntie Jo	25d ago	Fit
Beerwah	35d ago	Fit
Hundred Caps	76d ago	Fresh