Stay In Control With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:10

Stay In Control With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-23

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Winning Time 58.70s (slow by 1.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mondammej (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	4/1F	Won
2nd	Mattice (GB) Harry Burns · Ian McInnes	12/1	0.3
3rd	Darlo Pride (GB) Sam James · Michael Dods	5/1	.5
4th	Too Much (GB) Kaiya Fraser · David Thompson	17/2	1.25
5th	Em Jay Kay (GB) Luke Morris · Phil McEntee	13/2	.5
6th	Nelson Gay (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Michael Dods	9/1	0.1
7th	Phoenix Beach (IRE) Mikkel Mortensen · Scott Dixon	12/1	.75
8th	Masterclass (GB) Mark Winn · Paul Midgley	22/1	1.5
9th	Fletchers Dream (GB) Tom Eaves · Alan Brown	13/2	1.75
10th	Brazilian Rose (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Rebecca Menzies	20/1	.5
11th	Jamie Bond (GB) David Nolan · Bryan Smart	18/1	.75
12th	Lady Nunthorpe (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Geoff Oldroyd	11/1	55

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Mondammej Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	134	—	000007	68	90	44	56d	—	—	-8	9.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
On huge losing run but well handicapped, likes Newcastle and has recently had wind surgery
2 (10)	Fletchers Dream Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	134	p	409561	68	83	56	15d	—	—	+6	17.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Made all here two weeks ago; 3lb rise no major concern but drop to 5f not sure to suit
5 (9)	Em Jay Kay Bay J:Luke Morris T:Phil McEntee	J:Luke Morris T:Phil McEntee	132	p	658831	66	82	62	7d	—	—	+6	20.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Back to form of late, winning at Wolverhampton last week; in the mix again off 3lb higher
9 (7)	Darlo Pride Grey J:Sam James T:Michael Dods	J:Sam James T:Michael Dods	130	tp	537622	64	86	71	16d	—	—	+3	16.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Steadily back to form for this yard, second over C&D last time; headgear back on tonight
6 (6)	Nelson Gay Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Dods	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Dods	132	p	055269	66	88	62	26d	—	—	0	8.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Better strike-rate on AW than turf; might have needed last run; headgear back on tonight
3 (12)	Too Much Brown J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:David Thompson	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:David Thompson	134	h	906914	68	82	71	15d	—	—	+5	14	2.25/1	9/1 10%
6f winner in October; may still be unexposed as a sprinter and drops to 5f here
11 (11)	Mattice Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	130	p	806583	64	83	58	36d	—	—	+1	8.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Now 11lb lower than when winning in the spring; not ruled out for new stable
7 (2)	Phoenix Beach Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	131	—	332326	65	83	73	30d	—	—	+6	12.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Below-par sixth at Wolverhampton when last seen 30 days ago and needs to bounce back
8 (3)	Lady Nunthorpe Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harrison Shaw T:Geoff Oldroyd	131	p	5-8831	65	86	69	37d	—	—	0	5.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Off the mark at Southwell last month; high on the list again off a 4lb higher mark
4 (1)	Brazilian Rose Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	132	—	133	66	82	58	57d	—	—	+10	15.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Thrice-raced 3yo; didn't improve on debut win but has now joined a very capable stable
10 (4)	Jamie Bond Bay J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	130	—	06-049	64	81	-	17d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Lightly raced 4yo, more miss than hit since sole win in April 2023; AW debut
12 (8)	Masterclass Grey J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	130	b	296350	64	81	77	126d	—	—	+3	5.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
0-5 for current yard and now returns from five months off; probably best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mondammej	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Fletchers Dream	7/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Em Jay Kay	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Darlo Pride	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	9/2
Nelson Gay	10/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2
Too Much	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Mattice	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Phoenix Beach	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Lady Nunthorpe	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Brazilian Rose	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Jamie Bond	33/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Masterclass	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Em Jay Kay

20.1

OR: 4 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Fletchers Dream

17.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Darlo Pride

16.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 9.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Brazilian Rose

15.7

OR: 4 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Too Much

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Phoenix Beach

12.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Mondammej

9.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Nelson Gay

8.9

OR: 4 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Mattice

8.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Masterclass

5.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Lady Nunthorpe

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Jamie Bond

4.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mondammej	68	90	44
Fletchers Dream	68	83	56
Too Much	68	82	71
Em Jay Kay	66	82	62
Nelson Gay	66	88	62
Brazilian Rose	66	82	58
Phoenix Beach	65	83	73
Lady Nunthorpe	65	86	69
Darlo Pride	64	86	71
Mattice	64	83	58
Jamie Bond	64	81	—
Masterclass	64	81	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Em Jay Kay	7d ago	Quick return
Fletchers Dream	15d ago	Fit
Too Much	15d ago	Fit
Darlo Pride	16d ago	Fit
Jamie Bond	17d ago	Fit
Nelson Gay	26d ago	Fit
Phoenix Beach	30d ago	Fit
Mattice	36d ago	Fit
Lady Nunthorpe	37d ago	Fit
Mondammej	56d ago	Fresh
Brazilian Rose	57d ago	Fresh
Masterclass	126d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.