Layton Family Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Hereford

Hereford

13:25

Layton Family Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-11-27

Distance 2m53y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Nowmelad Bay J:Lee Edwards T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Lee Edwards T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	161	—	4-2213	119	120	108	27d	—	—	-29	37.3	1/4 80%
Clearcut winner of Uttoxeter maiden in October and placed under penalty since; big player
4	Not So Sobers Bay J:Richie McLernon T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Richie McLernon T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	154	—	2-14	-	-	-	32d	—	—	-10	8.9	4/1 20%
Won Market Rasen bumper in spring; fourth at Cheltenham last month; hurdle debut today
6	Wild Nephin Bay J:Conor Ring T:Ryan Potter	J:Conor Ring T:Ryan Potter	154	—	PF-621	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	33/1 3%
Fast-ground Irish point winner last month; has more on his plate on this rules debut
2	Bobby's Fortune Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	154	—	316-	-	105	66	380d	—	—	+6	9.4	40/1 2%
Won run-of-the-mill bumper in October 2023; off since low-key hurdle debut a month later
5	On The Go Bay J:David Bass T:Charlie Longsdon	J:David Bass T:Charlie Longsdon	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	50/1 2%
Third foal from a bumper/fair hurdle winner; worth a glance in the betting before debut
7	Indian Easter Bay J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	147	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Second foal from a modest maiden hurdler; seems unlikely to meet the standard required
NR	Mossy Fen Road Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	154	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	10	—
Well-bred 4yo who won by 4l on Irish point debut in March; interesting recruit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Nowmelad	2/11	1/4	2/9	1/5	2/9
Not So Sobers	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2
Wild Nephin	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Bobby's Fortune	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
On The Go	50/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Indian Easter	150/1	80/1	80/1	100/1	80/1
Mossy Fen Road	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nowmelad

37.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

1/4

2nd

Mossy Fen Road

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Bobby's Fortune

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Not So Sobers

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Wild Nephin

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

On The Go

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Indian Easter

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nowmelad	119	120	108
Not So Sobers	—	—	—
Wild Nephin	—	—	—
Bobby's Fortune	—	105	66
On The Go	—	—	—
Indian Easter	—	—	—
Mossy Fen Road	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nowmelad	27d ago	Fit
Not So Sobers	32d ago	Fit
Bobby's Fortune	380d ago	Long break
Wild Nephin	—	—
On The Go	—	—
Indian Easter	—	—
Mossy Fen Road	—	—