Final Fixture 15th December Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Carlisle

15:30

Date 2024-12-01

Distance 2m1f

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £2,178

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7	Maximum Offers Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	156	—	2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	13.4	2/1 33%
Sold for £105,000 after going very close in Irish maiden point; new trainer in fine form
2	Big Bert Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:James Owen	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:James Owen	156	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	18	9/4 31%
British maiden point winner who has joined good yard following £48,000 sale
10	Strolling Along Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	7/2 22%
£115,000 3yo who has potential in his pedigree; from top yard and firmly in calculations
4	Camberwell Bay J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C McConnell	156	—	5-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	7/1 13%
Close fifth in Irish maiden point; Irish trainer won this last year; interesting
9	Peckforton Hills Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	10/1 9%
In-form yard doesn't have many bumper runners but 6-19 record in such races catches eye
3	Bogleyburn Brown J:Ryan Mania T:Gary Rutherford	J:Ryan Mania T:Gary Rutherford	156	—	92-	-	104	43	364d	—	—	+3	5.8	33/1 3%
Has shown ability but he returns from an absence with improvement needed
5	King Kodiak Bay J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	80/1 1%
2,800euros foal; fifth foal; dam unraced; probably best watched on debut
6	Lord Fortescue Chestnut J:Bruce Lynn T:Gary Rutherford	J:Bruce Lynn T:Gary Rutherford	156	—	0-	-	74	43	219d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Half-brother to two winners but he was tailed off at 50-1 on his debut at Perth in April
NR	Bespoke Tailor Bay J:TBC T:Ewan Whillans	J: T:Ewan Whillans	156	—	V2-2	-	110	96	34d	—	—	—	5	—
Runner-up the last twice; takes on some interesting rivals but sets standard on rules form
NR	Mr Mojo Risin Bay J:TBC T:Donald McCain	J: T:Donald McCain	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—
Stable has a healthy strike-rate in bumpers but others may have greater potential
NR	Lady Risky Chestnut J:TBC T:Rebecca Menzies	J: T:Rebecca Menzies	149	h	9	-	93	29	20d	—	—	—	0	—
28-1 and always behind on debut over C&D (good to soft) three weeks ago; a hood goes on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Maximum Offers	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Big Bert	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	85/40
Strolling Along	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Camberwell	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Peckforton Hills	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Bogleyburn	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	28/1
King Kodiak	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Lord Fortescue	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	125/1
Bespoke Tailor	-	-	-	-	-
Mr Mojo Risin	-	-	-	-	-
Lady Risky	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Big Bert

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Maximum Offers

13.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

Bogleyburn

5.8

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Strolling Along

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Bespoke Tailor

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Camberwell

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Peckforton Hills

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

King Kodiak

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Lord Fortescue

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Mr Mojo Risin

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lady Risky

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Maximum Offers	—	—	—
Big Bert	—	—	—
Strolling Along	—	—	—
Camberwell	—	—	—
Peckforton Hills	—	—	—
Bogleyburn	—	104	43
King Kodiak	—	—	—
Lord Fortescue	—	74	43
Bespoke Tailor	—	110	96
Mr Mojo Risin	—	—	—
Lady Risky	—	93	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lady Risky	20d ago	Fit
Bespoke Tailor	34d ago	Fit
Lord Fortescue	219d ago	Long break
Bogleyburn	364d ago	Long break
Maximum Offers	—	—
Big Bert	—	—
Strolling Along	—	—
Camberwell	—	—
Peckforton Hills	—	—
King Kodiak	—	—
Mr Mojo Risin	—	—