BetMGM: It's Showtime Nursery Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

11:50

BetMGM: It's Showtime Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-12-04

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (11)	Solar Army b J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	133	—	75762	73	81	64	16d	—	—	-6	18	11/4 27%
Went very close in similar event at Southwell last time; not ruled out
4 (9)	Blue Secret b J:Marco Ghiani T:William Haggas	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Haggas	134	—	434	74	84	46	32d	—	—	-8	14.8	3/1 25%
Blue Point filly who brings steadily progressive RPRs to this handicap debut
2 (12)	Dannick ch J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	135	—	635	75	81	-	40d	—	—	-2	12.4	11/2 15%
Has shown ability on turf; may be capable of progress on handicap debut; interesting
3 (5)	Sweet Fantastic ch J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	135	—	263	75	80	57	14d	—	—	+5	14.4	8/1 11%
Placed over 7f at Kempton two weeks ago, improving on his 6f efforts; respected
8 (8)	Everyoneknowsadave b J:Finley Marsh T:Amy Murphy	J:Finley Marsh T:Amy Murphy	132	—	6615	72	81	67	43d	—	—	+7	14.6	11/1 8%
Has shown improvement since switched to AW; may have more to offer
12 (2)	Rage Of Thunder b J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	127	—	7075	67	78	69	34d	—	—	0	6	12/1 8%
Ran encouragingly last time; one of two interesting handicap debutants for this yard
1 (3)	Beauty By My Side b J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	135	—	491	75	81	54	58d	—	—	+11	18.4	11/1 8%
Took well to AW at Wolverhampton last time and may build on that win; new stable
11 (10)	Magic Glow b J:Jason Watson T:James Tate	J:Jason Watson T:James Tate	127	—	274	67	80	49	20d	—	—	+4	7.7	28/1 3%
Thrice-raced filly who wasn't beaten far last time; open to progress in handicaps
7 (7)	Primrose Path b J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	132	—	9246	72	78	62	28d	—	—	+6	8.9	33/1 3%
Has ability but chance largely depends on whether she settles better
9 (1)	Silver Arrow gr J:Cam Hardie T:Amy Murphy	J:Cam Hardie T:Amy Murphy	131	b	6305	71	76	51	21d	—	—	+3	8.4	33/1 3%
Chance of winning depends on how well he responds to first-time headgear
6 (6)	Rokuni gr J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	133	—	941059	73	78	-	42d	—	—	+7	9.3	66/1 1%
Limitations on turf have been somewhat exposed; debut for new yard
10 (4)	Berning Hot gr J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	128	—	7440	68	80	54	56d	—	—	+4	4.7	150/1 1%
0-4 for Richard Hannon, down the field in AW handicap most recently

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Solar Army	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Blue Secret	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Dannick	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Sweet Fantastic	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	7/1
Everyoneknowsadave	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Rage Of Thunder	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Beauty By My Side	9/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	9/1
Magic Glow	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Primrose Path	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Silver Arrow	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	22/1
Rokuni	66/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	33/1
Berning Hot	150/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Beauty By My Side

18.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

11/1

2nd

Solar Army

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Blue Secret

14.8

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Everyoneknowsadave

14.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Sweet Fantastic

14.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Dannick

12.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Rokuni

9.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Primrose Path

8.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Silver Arrow

8.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

33/1

Magic Glow

7.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

28/1

Rage Of Thunder

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Berning Hot

4.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dannick Top Rated	75	81	—
Sweet Fantastic	75	80	57
Beauty By My Side	75	81	54
Blue Secret	74	84	46
Solar Army	73	81	64
Rokuni	73	78	—
Everyoneknowsadave	72	81	67
Primrose Path	72	78	62
Silver Arrow	71	76	51
Berning Hot	68	80	54
Rage Of Thunder	67	78	69
Magic Glow	67	80	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sweet Fantastic	14d ago	Fit
Solar Army	16d ago	Fit
Magic Glow	20d ago	Fit
Silver Arrow	21d ago	Fit
Primrose Path	28d ago	Fit
Blue Secret	32d ago	Fit
Rage Of Thunder	34d ago	Fit
Dannick	40d ago	Fit
Rokuni	42d ago	Fit
Everyoneknowsadave	43d ago	Fit
Berning Hot	56d ago	Fresh
Beauty By My Side	58d ago	Fresh