Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:00

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-12-10

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,834

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Moonspirit Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	139	tp	647110	91	97	74	133d	—	—	+4	30.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
May just need the run after four months off; stable won this race last year
3 (6)	Ghaihaban Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	126	—	324451	79	95	62	76d	—	—	-1	26.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Off the mark at the eighth attempt last time; needs to progress again on handicap debut
5 (2)	Triumph Of Peace Brown J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	125	—	731393	78	99	75	27d	—	—	+1	20.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Closely matched with Enola Grey on last month's course running; likely to be thereabouts
2 (1)	Enola Grey Grey J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Gemma Tutty	127	—	535227	79	101	79	17d	—	—	+1	19.1	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has nothing to prove under the conditions including a win over C&D off this mark in March
4 (5)	Signora Bellissima Brown J:Clifford Lee T:Gemma Tutty	J:Clifford Lee T:Gemma Tutty	125	b	00-025	77	96	40	242d	—	—	+5	7.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Looks held by stablemate Enola Grey on C&D running in March; off eight months
6 (4)	Ashtanga Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	120	—	46-619	72	97	76	36d	—	—	+4	6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won at Wolverhampton in October but well beaten either side; not quite sure what to expect

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Moonspirit	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2	2/1
Ghaihaban	2/1	9/4	9/4	2/1	2/1
Triumph Of Peace	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	9/2
Enola Grey	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Signora Bellissima	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Ashtanga	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Moonspirit

30.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 12 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Ghaihaban

26.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 11 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Triumph Of Peace

20.8

OR: 7 Form: 8.1 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Enola Grey

19.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Signora Bellissima

7.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ashtanga

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Moonspirit	91	97	74
Ghaihaban	79	95	62
Enola Grey	79	101	79
Triumph Of Peace	78	99	75
Signora Bellissima	77	96	40
Ashtanga	72	97	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Enola Grey	17d ago	Fit
Triumph Of Peace	27d ago	Fit
Ashtanga	36d ago	Fit
Ghaihaban	76d ago	Fresh
Moonspirit	133d ago	Long break
Signora Bellissima	242d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.