Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2024-12-10

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,608

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Kylian Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	133	b	092761	98	115	73	18d	—	—	0	34.1	0.41/1	13/8 38%
2-2 on the AW with both wins coming at Newcastle; won with a bit to spare last time
1 (4)	Equilateral Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Charles Hills	J:Rossa Ryan T:Charles Hills	135	—	053026	100	112	96	18d	—	—	+3	22.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Finished over 3l behind Kylian at Newcastle last month, but is now 9lb better off
7 (1)	Mon Na Slieve Chestnut J:Josephine Gordon T:Kevin Ryan	J:Josephine Gordon T:Kevin Ryan	121	—	-57586	86	115	80	24d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-3	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has faced some stiff tasks since his successful 2yo debut, but hasn't really fired
3 (2)	Hiya Maite Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Roy Bowring	J:Tom Eaves T:Roy Bowring	129	—	262090	94	109	72	38d	—	—	+6	15.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Dual C&D winner but inconsistent this year and likely to be taken on for the lead
4 (8)	Bedford Flyer Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	125	b	-24705	90	116	90	87d	—	—	+6	12.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner; has missed the break lately but has dropped to a handy mark; off three months
9 (3)	Night On Earth Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Ian Williams	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Ian Williams	118	—	591705	83	109	90	17d	—	—	+8	12.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Established trailblazer, but whether he can hold off this field remains to be seen
5 (7)	Nazron Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	125	t	223160	90	111	91	17d	—	—	+13	18.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Return to 5f should suit and tongue-tie given a go, but too much to prove for comfort
6 (9)	Airman Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	121	—	1-1706	86	112	-	160d	—	—	+14	16.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Makes AW debut after 160 days off having been gelded; this looks a warm race
8 (5)	The Fixer Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	120	p	4-6000	85	110	-	60d	—	—	+8	9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Needs the gelding operation and switch to the AW to make a difference

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kylian	6/4	13/8	6/4	13/8	11/8
Equilateral	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Mon Na Slieve	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Hiya Maite	8/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Bedford Flyer	12/1	12/1	11/1	10/1	12/1
Night On Earth	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Nazron	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Airman	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
The Fixer	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kylian

34.1

OR: 12 Form: 11.5 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Equilateral

22.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Nazron

18.3

OR: 10 Form: 6.9 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Airman

16.8

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Hiya Maite

15.2

OR: 11 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Mon Na Slieve

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Bedford Flyer

12.9

OR: 10 Form: 1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Night On Earth

12.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

18/1

The Fixer

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Equilateral	100	112	96
Kylian	98	115	73
Hiya Maite	94	109	72
Bedford Flyer	90	116	90
Nazron	90	111	91
Mon Na Slieve	86	115	80
Airman	86	112	—
The Fixer	85	110	—
Night On Earth	83	109	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Night On Earth	17d ago	Fit
Nazron	17d ago	Fit
Kylian	18d ago	Fit
Equilateral	18d ago	Fit
Mon Na Slieve	24d ago	Fit
Hiya Maite	38d ago	Fit
The Fixer	60d ago	Fresh
Bedford Flyer	87d ago	Fresh
Airman	160d ago	Long break