Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap (Div II) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

13:47

Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-12-12

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Rock Armour Bay J:Oisin Orr T:John Butler	J:Oisin Orr T:John Butler	134	p	560022	62	73	58	19d	—	—	-7	19.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Runner-up over C&D last twice (latest effort solid); shortlisted in first cheekpieces.
3 (6)	Powerful Response Bay J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	135	—	774636	61	75	-	48d	—	—	-13	12.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Respectable third at Redcar (1m2f Class 5, soft; 5-1) on penultimate start; interesting.
7 (8)	Rampant Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	123	p	8-9403	49	71	68	35d	—	—	-10	4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Closing third over C&D (Class 6; first start for Patrick Morris) five weeks ago; chance.
2 (3)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	136	—	423665	62	72	51	9d	—	—	-4	8.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
AW record reads 0-10, being caught a little flat-footed over 7f here (fifth) last week.
8 (4)	Gemini Man Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	119	p	07-564	45	68	-	45d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ex-Irish; 0-18; fair fourth at Redcar (1m2f) on first start for this trainer.
9 (9)	Lady Phoebe br/gr J:Cam Hardie T:Adam Nicol	J:Cam Hardie T:Adam Nicol	117	p	286457	45	72	61	29d	—	—	-6	2.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
12-race maiden; runner-up at Hamilton (1m4f, Class 6) in August; has form with Gemini Man.
1 (7)	Russian Virtue Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	138	—	141-04	64	72	51	—	—	—	+1	4.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Dual C&D winner for R. Menzies; could need this comeback run having moved on for 5,000gns.
5 (5)	Budding Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Tracy Waggott	J:William Pyle(3) T:Tracy Waggott	129	—	726244	57	71	59	51d	—	—	+3	6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Nine-race maiden; left the care of Hughie Morrison for 1,000gns since latest Yarmouth run.
6 (1)	Arranmore Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	127	ht	765048	53	72	36	26d	—	—	-1	1.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Yet to win on AW (0-12), or anywhere for that matter since August 2021 (Carlisle).

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Rock Armour	2/1	2/1	9/4
Powerful Response	5/2	3/1	11/4
Rampant	5/1	5/1	9/2
Alpine Sierra	6/1	11/2	6/1
Gemini Man	13/2	13/2	13/2
Lady Phoebe	20/1	20/1	16/1
Russian Virtue	33/1	33/1	33/1
Budding	40/1	28/1	33/1
Arranmore	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rock Armour

19.5

OR: 3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Powerful Response

12.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8

3/1

3rd

Alpine Sierra

8.5

OR: 3 Form: 1.9 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Budding

OR: 1.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Russian Virtue

4.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Rampant

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Gemini Man

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Lady Phoebe

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

20/1

Arranmore

1.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Russian Virtue	64	72	51
Rock Armour	62	73	58
Alpine Sierra	62	72	51
Powerful Response	61	75	—
Budding	57	71	59
Arranmore	53	72	36
Rampant	49	71	68
Gemini Man	45	68	—
Lady Phoebe	45	72	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alpine Sierra	9d ago	Quick return
Rock Armour	19d ago	Fit
Arranmore	26d ago	Fit
Lady Phoebe	29d ago	Fit
Rampant	35d ago	Fit
Gemini Man	45d ago	Fit
Powerful Response	48d ago	Fresh
Budding	51d ago	Fresh
Russian Virtue	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.