Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:52

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-12

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 13.48s (slow by 3.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cut To The Chase (GB) William Carson · Tony Carroll	7/1	Won
2nd	Bomb Squad (IRE) Clifford Lee · John Mackie	17/2	.75
3rd	Autumn Angel (IRE) Jack Doughty · Tony Carroll	9/2	.5
4th	Blackcurrent (GB) Tom Eaves · Alan Brown	20/1	0.3
5th	Absolute Dream (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	9/1	.5
6th	Tommytwohoots (GB) Harry Burns · Ian McInnes	40/1	1
7th	Variety Island (GB) Ben Sanderson · Simon Whitaker	7/1	0.3
8th	My Boy Jack (GB) Andrea Pinna · Kevin Frost	5/1	0.3
9th	Gunnerside (IRE) Harrison Shaw · Grant Tuer	11/4F	.5
10th	Ben Dikduk (IRE) Jack Garritty · Mark Walford	25/1	.75
11th	Mumcat (GB) Joanna Mason · Jacqueline Coward	33/1	1.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Gunnerside Grey J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	134	—	535234	52	65	58	6d	—	—	-13	13.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Running well here (6f-7f) in recent weeks; form of C&D third (penultimate start) franked.
6 (8)	My Boy Jack Chestnut J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	133	b	222322	51	66	61	9d	—	—	+2	17.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Difficult to knock for consistency with recent form figures of 222322; enters calculations
9 (12)	Autumn Angel Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	131	b	637394	49	70	51	20d	—	—	-8	6.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Close up (fourth) behind Gunnerside over C&D latest; stablemate of Cut To The Chase.
12 (9)	Variety Island Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	130	v	476442	48	66	57	37d	—	—	-3	8.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
2-41; closed late on over C&D when beaten a neck last time; can't be discounted
4 (4)	Bomb Squad Grey J:Clifford Lee T:John Mackie	J:Clifford Lee T:John Mackie	134	p	-00935	52	68	42	10d	—	—	-4	5.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
C&D form figures (262), coupled with a handy mark, suggest he could have a role to play.
3 (1)	Absolute Dream Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	134	p	482558	52	70	60	24d	—	—	-5	4.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Beaten by a neck over C&D (same mark) in October; less productive in three starts since.
7 (7)	Cut To The Chase Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	132	—	-72320	50	65	55	31d	—	—	+1	8.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Maiden (0-7); improved switched to classified/handicaps; too free over 8.5f last time.
1 (11)	Mumcat Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	134	—	333410	52	65	55	20d	—	—	+6	10	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Pulled hard and always in rear here (7f) three weeks ago but that was after a layoff.
10 (2)	Blackcurrent Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	130	p	465572	48	66	54	34d	—	—	+1	6.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Runner-up over 5f here (16-1) last time; likely pace angle; 6f probably not his optimum.
11 (5)	Ben Dikduk Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	130	—	001630	48	67	37	49d	—	—	+3	5.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Easing mark, coupled with a drop back in trip, isn't enough to tempt; seeking first AW win
5 (3)	Tommytwohoots Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	134	—	247714	52	65	-	56d	—	—	+6	8.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Sprung a surprise at Nottingham (6f, heavy) in October; eight weeks off; 2-31 on AW
NR (6)	Noble Consort Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	131	v	785644	49	65	59	26d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Maiden (0-11); fourth on last two starts (7f); career-low mark back dropping in distance.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Gunnerside	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
My Boy Jack	5/1	5/1	5/1	4/1	5/1
Autumn Angel	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Variety Island	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	13/2
Bomb Squad	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	17/2
Absolute Dream	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Cut To The Chase	10/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	9/1
Mumcat	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	20/1
Blackcurrent	18/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	14/1
Ben Dikduk	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Tommytwohoots	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	33/1
Noble Consort	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Boy Jack

17.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Gunnerside

13.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 5.2 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Mumcat

OR: 0.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1

28/1

Cut To The Chase

8.6

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Variety Island

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Tommytwohoots

8.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Blackcurrent

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Autumn Angel

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

5/1

Ben Dikduk

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Bomb Squad

5.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Absolute Dream

4.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Noble Consort

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gunnerside	52	65	58
Bomb Squad	52	68	42
Absolute Dream	52	70	60
Mumcat	52	65	55
Tommytwohoots	52	65	—
My Boy Jack	51	66	61
Cut To The Chase	50	65	55
Autumn Angel	49	70	51
Noble Consort	49	65	59
Variety Island	48	66	57
Blackcurrent	48	66	54
Ben Dikduk	48	67	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gunnerside	6d ago	Quick return
My Boy Jack	9d ago	Quick return
Bomb Squad	10d ago	Quick return
Autumn Angel	20d ago	Fit
Mumcat	20d ago	Fit
Absolute Dream	24d ago	Fit
Noble Consort	26d ago	Fit
Cut To The Chase	31d ago	Fit
Blackcurrent	34d ago	Fit
Variety Island	37d ago	Fit
Ben Dikduk	49d ago	Fresh
Tommytwohoots	56d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.