Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:00

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2024-12-12

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 0.09s (slow by 2.59s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Doddie's Impact (GB) Harry Russell · Ollie Pears	12/1	Won
2nd	Fortunate Star (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	8/1	.75
2nd	Tickets (GB) Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam	11/2	0
4th	Show Me Show Me (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	11/2	.5
5th	Rogue De Vega (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	11/1	.5
6th	So Grateful (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	4/1F	.5
7th	The Gay Blade (GB) Dougie Costello · Iain Jardine	9/1	.75
8th	Azucena (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Ann Duffield	11/1	0.2
9th	Better (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	15/2	2.75
10th	Travel Candy (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	18/1	4
11th	Sheriff's Call (IRE) Lewis Chalkley · Michael & David Easterby	33/1	7.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (2)	So Grateful Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	130	—	323074	57	79	60	21d	—	—	-10	9.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Unlucky loser at Wolverhampton latest; runs off the same mark and he's a strong contender
6 (7)	Tickets Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	133	—	603712	60	73	55	37d	—	—	+4	19.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Comes here in good form but this first experience of racing over 5f could find him out
10 (4)	Show Me Show Me Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	132	v	850474	59	75	62	52d	—	—	-8	6.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
On a lowly mark and ran okay dropped to Class 6 latest; can't afford to get too far back
3 (12)	Fortunate Star Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	134	—	323131	61	74	64	24d	—	—	+13	25.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two Southwell wins last month; hit with a 7lb rise for latest but still feasibly treated
5 (11)	Better Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	133	—	006413	60	76	61	35d	—	—	+6	15.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D win in October was followed by a near miss at Southwell; not fully exposed on AW
8 (10)	The Gay Blade Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Iain Jardine	J:Dougie Costello T:Iain Jardine	132	—	341502	59	76	50	20d	—	—	+4	12.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Four wins this year and ran well over 7f here last month; more to prove over today's trip
9 (8)	Rogue De Vega Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	132	h	208261	59	76	69	21d	—	—	+10	16.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Overcame a difficult start to win at Wolverhampton last month; just a 1lb rise; chance
1 (6)	Doddie's Impact Bay J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	135	p	55-705	62	72	64	38d	—	—	-2	4.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Best effort for some time when fifth at Southwell last month; headgear now added; chance
4 (5)	Azucena Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ann Duffield	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ann Duffield	134	—	707177	61	75	51	35d	—	—	+4	9.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Both wins have come over C&D; ran okay in a Class 5 latest; chance with Mulrennan booked
11 (9)	Travel Candy Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	131	tp	708244	58	76	-	36d	—	—	+1	5.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Down in the weights and she's run well in 2 of her last 3 starts; others look stronger
7 (1)	Sheriff's Call Chestnut J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	85-2	60	68	-	45d	—	—	+6	8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Lightly raced but latest 2nd of 3 not a persuasive formline; stable also run So Grateful
NR (3)	Alafdhal Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Phil McEntee	J:NON-RUNNER T:Phil McEntee	134	b	933263	61	-	-	21d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
Consistent sprinter but he's been beaten off a 1lb lower mark on his last seven starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
So Grateful	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1	7/2
Tickets	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Show Me Show Me	11/2	5/1	5/1	9/2	11/2
Fortunate Star	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Better	7/1	8/1	15/2	17/2	7/1
The Gay Blade	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2
Rogue De Vega	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Doddie's Impact	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Azucena	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Travel Candy	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	16/1
Sheriff's Call	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1
Alafdhal	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fortunate Star

25.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 19 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Tickets

19.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 12.9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Rogue De Vega

16.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Better

15.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

17/2

The Gay Blade

12.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Alafdhal

9.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

So Grateful

9.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Azucena

9.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Sheriff's Call

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Show Me Show Me

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Travel Candy

5.7

OR: 2 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Doddie's Impact

4.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Doddie's Impact	62	72	64
Fortunate Star	61	74	64
Azucena	61	75	51
Alafdhal	61	—	—
Tickets	60	73	55
Better	60	76	61
Sheriff's Call	60	68	—
Show Me Show Me	59	75	62
The Gay Blade	59	76	50
Rogue De Vega	59	76	69
Travel Candy	58	76	—
So Grateful	57	79	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Gay Blade	20d ago	Fit
So Grateful	21d ago	Fit
Rogue De Vega	21d ago	Fit
Alafdhal	21d ago	Fit
Fortunate Star	24d ago	Fit
Better	35d ago	Fit
Azucena	35d ago	Fit
Travel Candy	36d ago	Fit
Tickets	37d ago	Fit
Doddie's Impact	38d ago	Fit
Sheriff's Call	45d ago	Fit
Show Me Show Me	52d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
The Gay Blade	Prominent
Rogue De Vega	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.