Kirker Holidays Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Taunton

14:05

Date 2024-12-12

Distance 2m7f3y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,024

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Law Of Supply Grey J:Ciaran Gethings T:Kim Bailey	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Kim Bailey	168	t	553-11	120	123	108	20d	—	—	+4	23.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2-2 since switched to chasing and handicap level, the latest win at Ascot; big player
1	Florencethemachine Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	170	—	731-31	122	129	70	24d	—	—	+4	23.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made all for easy win at Exeter last time; respected, with further progress plausible
3	Shy Love Chestnut J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	166	—	/515-4	118	-	-	39d	—	—	+6	21.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Lightly raced 6yo who looks interesting on handicap/chase debut
4	De Tellers Fortune Bay J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	159	—	1/P4-1	111	-	-	211d	—	—	+22	33.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Form of his Irish point win has substance; attractively treated off his opening mark
6	Bertie Wooster b/br J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Joe Tizzard	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Joe Tizzard	158	—	421-55	110	120	95	20d	—	—	+8	17.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Well held at Ascot (race won by Law Of Supply) on the switch to fences
8	Tout Sur Moi Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Jane Williams	J:Sean Houlihan T:Jane Williams	152	t	673-32	104	-	-	28d	—	—	+7	15.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Maiden who needs improvement for the new trip and switch to fences
10	Langley Hundred Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	147	tp	227551	99	128	119	30d	—	—	+17	25.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Exposed sort who looks unlikely to follow up his Hereford win; this is harder
5	Hall Lane Chestnut J:Oscar Palmer(7) T:Alan King	J:Oscar Palmer(7) T:Alan King	158	p	-34154	110	125	108	20d	—	—	+16	22.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
More exposed than most of these rivals and looks set for another supporting role
9	Thirtyfour Thirty Bay J:James Best T:Anthony Charlton	J:James Best T:Anthony Charlton	152	b	-22592	104	121	-	28d	—	—	+19	21.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Combination of step back up in trip and new headgear may help
NR	Immortal Fame Bay J:Chris Ward(3) T:Deborah Cole	J:Chris Ward(3) T:Deborah Cole	158	p	12-P21	110	127	111	29d	—	—	—	15	—	—
Won at Ayr last month on second run for new yard; this looks a stiffer task

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Law Of Supply	7/2	7/2	7/2
Florencethemachine	7/2	3/1	10/3
Shy Love	5/1	5/1	5/1
De Tellers Fortune	7/1	7/1	7/1
Bertie Wooster	8/1	8/1	8/1
Tout Sur Moi	10/1	9/1	9/1
Langley Hundred	11/1	9/1	10/1
Hall Lane	12/1	12/1	12/1
Thirtyfour Thirty	50/1	40/1	50/1
Immortal Fame	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

De Tellers Fortune

33.6

OR: 15.3 Form: 15 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Langley Hundred

25.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 11 Odds: 2.5

11/1

3rd

Florencethemachine

23.7

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Law Of Supply

23.2

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Hall Lane

22.5

OR: 15 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Thirtyfour Thirty

21.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Shy Love

21.4

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Bertie Wooster

17.7

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Tout Sur Moi

15.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Immortal Fame

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Florencethemachine	122	129	70
Law Of Supply	120	123	108
Shy Love	118	—	—
De Tellers Fortune	111	—	—
Bertie Wooster	110	120	95
Hall Lane	110	125	108
Immortal Fame	110	127	111
Tout Sur Moi	104	—	—
Thirtyfour Thirty	104	121	—
Langley Hundred	99	128	119

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Law Of Supply	20d ago	Fit
Bertie Wooster	20d ago	Fit
Hall Lane	20d ago	Fit
Florencethemachine	24d ago	Fit
Tout Sur Moi	28d ago	Fit
Thirtyfour Thirty	28d ago	Fit
Immortal Fame	29d ago	Fit
Langley Hundred	30d ago	Fit
Shy Love	39d ago	Fit
De Tellers Fortune	211d ago	Long break