Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:30

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-14

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 0.99s (slow by 1.29s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Classy Clarets (IRE) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	11/2	Won
2nd	Nelson Gay (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods	3/1F	.5
3rd	Recon Mission (IRE) Luke Morris · Tony Carroll	17/2	.5
4th	Lion Ring (IRE) Ryan Kavanagh · Andrew J Martin	11/1	1.25
5th	Papa Don't Preach (IRE) Andrea Pinna · Kevin Frost	20/1	.5
6th	Beauzon (GB) Charles Bishop · Ian Williams	7/1	.5
7th	So Obsessed (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · Marco Botti	25/1	0.2
8th	Gustav Graves (GB) Joanna Mason · Derek Shaw	11/1	1
9th	Pop Dancer (IRE) Jack Doughty · Tony Carroll	6/1	4
10th	Agostino (GB) Marco Ghiani · Robert Cowell	7/1	2.25

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Nelson Gay Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	132	b	526960	62	84	63	11d	—	—	-7	8.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Well handicapped but proving disappointing; hopes rest on a return to Wolverhampton
2 (7)	Pop Dancer Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	135	p	642337	65	82	59	23d	—	—	-1	12.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Hasn't won for over a year; something to find with stablemate Recon Mission on latest run
7 (5)	Beauzon Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	132	p	007131	62	82	68	26d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+10	24.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two 6f wins on this course this autumn; bang in form and might be the answer.
9 (1)	Classy Clarets Grey J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	130	h	706527	60	81	65	25d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
0-15; needs first-time hood to have a positive effect if he's to land a first win
1 (10)	Agostino Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	135	—	570126	65	78	65	23d	—	—	+5	15.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Arrives in decent form; impossible to rule out despite the outside stall
3 (6)	Recon Mission Bay J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	134	—	424352	64	77	73	23d	—	—	+5	13.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
On a losing run stretching back to July 2022 but he's knocking at the door; in the mix
8 (9)	Gustav Graves Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	131	—	559358	61	80	70	37d	—	—	-2	6.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Four C&D wins last winter; not at best of late but dangerous if reviving
10 (4)	Lion Ring Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Andrew J Martin	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Andrew J Martin	128	—	191055	58	80	71	9d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Four wins this autumn, all when ridden up with the pace; might have gone off the boil
6 (8)	Papa Don't Preach Bay J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	132	b	581345	62	79	70	37d	—	—	+3	9.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Far from disgraced last time considering he blew the start; makes the shortlist
4 (2)	So Obsessed Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Marco Botti	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Marco Botti	132	—	121148	62	78	54	23d	—	—	+8	13.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
C&D winner in first half of year; well held last time but might have needed run

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Nelson Gay	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1
Pop Dancer	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Beauzon	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Classy Clarets	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Agostino	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Recon Mission	9/1	17/2	17/2	15/2	9/1
Gustav Graves	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Lion Ring	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Papa Don't Preach	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
So Obsessed	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Beauzon

24.1

OR: 3 Form: 17.1 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Agostino

15.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

3rd

So Obsessed

13.6

OR: 3 Form: 9 Odds: 1.6

25/1

Recon Mission

13.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Pop Dancer

12.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Classy Clarets

9.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Papa Don't Preach

9.4

OR: 3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Nelson Gay

8.4

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Lion Ring

7.1

OR: 2 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Gustav Graves

6.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pop Dancer	65	82	59
Agostino	65	78	65
Recon Mission	64	77	73
Nelson Gay	62	84	63
Beauzon	62	82	68
Papa Don't Preach	62	79	70
So Obsessed	62	78	54
Gustav Graves	61	80	70
Classy Clarets	60	81	65
Lion Ring	58	80	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lion Ring	9d ago	Quick return
Nelson Gay	11d ago	Quick return
Pop Dancer	23d ago	Fit
Agostino	23d ago	Fit
Recon Mission	23d ago	Fit
So Obsessed	23d ago	Fit
Classy Clarets	25d ago	Fit
Beauzon	26d ago	Fit
Gustav Graves	37d ago	Fit
Papa Don't Preach	37d ago	Fit