BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-12-17

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (7)	Rebecca's Girl Bay J:Jason Hart T:Gary Rutherford	J:Jason Hart T:Gary Rutherford	130	b	390512	60	82	70	8d	—	—	-4	22.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Bolted up over C&D 11 days ago and picked off only late over 1m 3 days later; big chance
6 (11)	Lahab Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	131	—	744857	61	77	71	14d	—	—	-8	7.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Did not live up to market billing here the last twice; down in the weights; not discounted
3 (6)	Jkr Cobbler Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Iain Jardine	134	—	375211	64	78	63	40d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+15	26.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Chasing a C&D hat-trick but this is a deeper race than those he's been winning
9 (5)	Trais Fluors b/br J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Linda Perratt	130	—	646015	60	81	69	14d	—	—	+1	12.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not at his best behind Panama City (1m) here last time but still has mileage in his mark
5 (3)	Panama City Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	133	t	508631	63	80	64	14d	—	—	+8	18.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Good strike-rate on AW and should make another bold bid back at 7f
12 (4)	Flash The Dash Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	125	—	244533	55	79	66	74d	—	—	0	8.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two course wins; in fair form over 6f when last seen and looks ready for the return to 7f
10 (12)	Drakeholes Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	129	—	921413	59	77	57	40d	—	—	+10	18.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Three C&D wins this year; latest 3rd came in a race not run to suit; should run well
11 (10)	Thanks Dad Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	129	t	503854	59	76	69	50d	—	—	-1	4.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
12-race maiden for whom the addition of a tongue-tie needs to have a positive effect
7 (8)	Pallas Lord Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Donald Whillans	J:Archie Young(5) T:Donald Whillans	131	t	299855	61	76	53	8d	—	—	0	4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Five course wins early in the year; back down the weights without looking primed to strike
2 (1)	Cusack Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	135	p	500889	65	78	52	40d	—	—	+1	4.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
On a good mark but the drop in trip and class isn't enough to tempt this time
1 (2)	Ideal Guest Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Harriet Bethell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Harriet Bethell	135	p	301-80	65	75	6	35d	—	—	+1	4.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two heavy defeats for new yard after an absence; headgear returns now down into a Class 6
4 (9)	B Associates Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	133	—	149008	63	75	49	35d	—	—	+3	3.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Four heavy defeats since joining current yard; drop to Class 6 is not enough to tempt

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Rebecca's Girl	2/1	2/1	9/4
Lahab	9/2	9/2	9/2
Jkr Cobbler	13/2	7/1	13/2
Trais Fluors	7/1	15/2	7/1
Panama City	9/1	8/1	17/2
Flash The Dash	11/1	9/1	11/1
Drakeholes	10/1	10/1	11/1
Thanks Dad	16/1	14/1	16/1
Pallas Lord	20/1	22/1	20/1
Cusack	25/1	20/1	22/1
Ideal Guest	33/1	25/1	28/1
B Associates	150/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jkr Cobbler

26.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 19.5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Rebecca's Girl

22.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 12 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Drakeholes

18.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 14 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Panama City

18.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Trais Fluors

12.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Flash The Dash

8.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Lahab

7.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Thanks Dad

4.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Cusack

4.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ideal Guest

4.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Pallas Lord

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

B Associates

3.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cusack	65	78	52
Ideal Guest	65	75	6
Jkr Cobbler	64	78	63
Panama City	63	80	64
B Associates	63	75	49
Lahab	61	77	71
Pallas Lord	61	76	53
Rebecca's Girl	60	82	70
Trais Fluors	60	81	69
Drakeholes	59	77	57
Thanks Dad	59	76	69
Flash The Dash	55	79	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rebecca's Girl	8d ago	Quick return
Pallas Lord	8d ago	Quick return
Lahab	14d ago	Fit
Trais Fluors	14d ago	Fit
Panama City	14d ago	Fit
Ideal Guest	35d ago	Fit
B Associates	35d ago	Fit
Jkr Cobbler	40d ago	Fit
Drakeholes	40d ago	Fit
Cusack	40d ago	Fit
Thanks Dad	50d ago	Fresh
Flash The Dash	74d ago	Fresh