Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Div II) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-12-17

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	King's School Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Gemma Tutty	135	tb	452222	70	83	70	24d	—	—	+1	24.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Banging at the door but he's gone up 11lb for 2nds on last four starts; new trip/headgear
10 (2)	Captain Vallo Chestnut J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	125	p	003213	60	82	75	3d	—	—	+4	20.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
In good form but this is a stronger race than he has been contesting
3 (9)	Clipsham La Habana Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:Alice Haynes	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Alice Haynes	134	p	423673	69	83	69	14d	—	—	0	13.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Creditable 3rd over 7f here two weeks ago; quick enough for 6f but needs a bit more to win
8 (11)	Bellagio Man Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Antony Brittain	126	p	943273	61	87	68	7d	—	—	+1	12.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Not straightforward but more than capable off this mark & ran well at Southwell last week
7 (3)	Emily Post Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Dods	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Dods	132	h	6565U4	67	82	62	26d	—	—	-3	7.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
7f course winner; solid run over this trip at Southwell last month; each-way shout
1 (1)	Lequinto Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	135	—	870785	70	83	65	29d	—	—	-2	7.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not beaten far over 5f last month and he drops in class on this return to his best trip
4 (6)	Quintus Arrius Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Peter Niven	J:Dougie Costello T:Peter Niven	133	p	030857	68	82	47	11d	—	—	0	7.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Low-key return from a wind op here 11 days ago; risky despite his attractive mark
9 (7)	Spartan Fighter Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	125	b	716736	60	83	78	7d	—	—	+3	8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
C&D win in October was the last time he raced over 6f; went off too fast latest; chance
6 (10)	Fletchers Dream Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	132	p	095619	67	83	58	24d	—	—	+8	12.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
C&D win last month (made all) but less good over 5f next time; others look stronger
11 (4)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	124	—	676774	59	79	60	14d	—	—	0	3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Ran okay over 7f here two weeks ago; wouldn't be sure to back it up
NR (5)	Bella Kopella Bay J:TBC T:Nigel Tinkler	J: T:Nigel Tinkler	132	t	285886	67	86	64	8d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Not beaten far over 5f here last week; return to 6f is a positive; dangerous mark

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
King's School	5/2	5/2	5/2
Captain Vallo	9/2	9/2	9/2
Clipsham La Habana	11/2	5/1	11/2
Bellagio Man	13/2	13/2	13/2
Emily Post	8/1	17/2	17/2
Lequinto	7/1	15/2	15/2
Quintus Arrius	11/1	12/1	12/1
Spartan Fighter	20/1	20/1	20/1
Fletchers Dream	20/1	22/1	20/1
Giselles Izzy	25/1	28/1	28/1
Bella Kopella	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

King's School

24.8

OR: 5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Captain Vallo

20.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 13.4 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Clipsham La Habana

13.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 4.9 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Fletchers Dream

12.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Bellagio Man

12.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.4 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Spartan Fighter

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Lequinto

7.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Quintus Arrius

7.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Emily Post

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Bella Kopella

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Giselles Izzy

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
King's School	70	83	70
Lequinto	70	83	65
Clipsham La Habana	69	83	69
Quintus Arrius	68	82	47
Emily Post	67	82	62
Fletchers Dream	67	83	58
Bella Kopella	67	86	64
Bellagio Man	61	87	68
Captain Vallo	60	82	75
Spartan Fighter	60	83	78
Giselles Izzy	59	79	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Captain Vallo	3d ago	Quick return
Bellagio Man	7d ago	Quick return
Spartan Fighter	7d ago	Quick return
Bella Kopella	8d ago	Quick return
Quintus Arrius	11d ago	Quick return
Clipsham La Habana	14d ago	Fit
Giselles Izzy	14d ago	Fit
King's School	24d ago	Fit
Fletchers Dream	24d ago	Fit
Emily Post	26d ago	Fit
Lequinto	29d ago	Fit