Richard Winterton Auctioneers Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Uttoxeter

12:20

Date 2024-12-20

Distance 2m6f45y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Winning Time 6m 8.90s (slow by 52.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Subtle Fortune (GB) Charlie Deutsch · Mel Rowley	9/1	Won
2nd	El Fabienne (FR) Sean Bowen · Alastair Ralph	7/2	6
3rd	English Willow (GB) Tom Bellamy · Kim Bailey	8/1	3.5
4th	Ballela Sunrise (IRE) Lewis Stones · D J Jeffreys	50/1	4.5
5th	Mobile Mamma (IRE) Jamie Hamilton · Ruth Jefferson	25/1	1.25
6th	Ebselysees (GB) James Davies · Noel Williams	5/1	0.1
7th	Dazzlelikethis (IRE) Craig Nichol · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	6/5F	28
8th	Chosen Bae (IRE) Daryl Jacob · Ryan Potter	66/1	31

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
Fell	Lucille Diamond (GB) Tom Buckley · Tracey Leeson	250/1
P.U.	Only Gossip (GB) Nick Scholfield · Polly Gundry	25/1
P.U.	Windsor Wife (IRE) Tristan Durrell · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	200/1

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Dazzlelikethis Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Craig Nichol T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	154	t	F-2	-	117	96	31d	—	—	-27	19.3	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Beaten 12l at Carlisle (2m4f, good to soft) but the winner could be useful
5	El Fabienne Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Alastair Ralph	J:Sean Bowen T:Alastair Ralph	154	t	/5-475	-	104	57	50d	—	—	-14	5.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ex-Willie Mullins; did run a pleasing first race for this yard at Stratford (2m6f)
1	Ebselysees Bay J:James Davies T:Noel Williams	J:James Davies T:Noel Williams	161	—	4-81	-	107	59	47d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Would look vulnerable under a penalty in a lot of races but this isn't strong
6	English Willow Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey	J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey	154	—	8	-	93	81	28d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
80-1, she never posed much of a threat when eighth of 13 in a 2m3f Chepstow maiden
10	Subtle Fortune Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	154	—	1O-167	-	95	78	16d	—	—	-6	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Dual pointer but pretty much tailed off in her two hurdles at about 3m; couldn't recommend
8	Mobile Mamma Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Ruth Jefferson	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Ruth Jefferson	154	—	7P-155	-	86	51	15d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won an Irish point but has shown very little in two novice hurdles; one for another day
9	Only Gossip Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Polly Gundry	J:Nick Scholfield T:Polly Gundry	154	—	P1F3/	-	-	-	—	—	—	+4	7.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
First and third in her two completed points so has ability but long absence is a worry
2	Ballela Sunrise Bay J:Lewis Stones(3) T:D J Jeffreys	J:Lewis Stones(3) T:D J Jeffreys	154	—	21/	-	-	-	—	—	—	+12	14	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Beat a notable rival (now useful) in a point bumper but that was back in April 2022
3	Chosen Bae Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Ryan Potter	J:Daryl Jacob T:Ryan Potter	154	ht	23P-	-	-	-	532d	—	—	+1	3.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Pulled up in a 2m5f maiden at Newton Abbot when last seen in July 2023
7	Lucille Diamond Bay J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Tracey Leeson	J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Tracey Leeson	154	p	9-95UP	-	-	-	47d	—	—	0	0.1	125.00/1	500/1 0%
200-1 when pulled up at Huntingdon in a maiden won by Ebselyees; very opposable
11	Windsor Wife Chestnut J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	154	—	198P	-	-	-	37d	—	—	+1	1.6	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Dead-heated in Irish point; instantly opposable after what she's shown so far under rules

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Dazzlelikethis	10/11	5/6	Evens
El Fabienne	9/2	4/1	4/1
Ebselysees	5/1	11/2	11/2
English Willow	13/2	7/1	13/2
Subtle Fortune	12/1	11/1	11/1
Mobile Mamma	33/1	33/1	28/1
Only Gossip	33/1	33/1	28/1
Ballela Sunrise	100/1	66/1	66/1
Chosen Bae	66/1	66/1	50/1
Lucille Diamond	500/1	200/1	250/1
Windsor Wife	400/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dazzlelikethis

19.3

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 15.4

Evens

2nd

Ballela Sunrise

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.5

100/1

3rd

Only Gossip

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

El Fabienne

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Ebselysees

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Chosen Bae

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.7

66/1

English Willow

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Subtle Fortune

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Windsor Wife

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.1

400/1

Mobile Mamma

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Lucille Diamond

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dazzlelikethis	—	117	96
El Fabienne	—	104	57
Ebselysees	—	107	59
English Willow	—	93	81
Subtle Fortune	—	95	78
Mobile Mamma	—	86	51
Only Gossip	—	—	—
Ballela Sunrise	—	—	—
Chosen Bae	—	—	—
Lucille Diamond	—	—	—
Windsor Wife	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mobile Mamma	15d ago	Fit
Subtle Fortune	16d ago	Fit
English Willow	28d ago	Fit
Dazzlelikethis	31d ago	Fit
Windsor Wife	37d ago	Fit
Ebselysees	47d ago	Fresh
Lucille Diamond	47d ago	Fresh
El Fabienne	50d ago	Fresh
Chosen Bae	532d ago	Long break
Only Gossip	—	—
Ballela Sunrise	—	—