Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 14.07s (slow by 3.67s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cajetan (GB) Edward Greatrex · Jack Channon	100/30	Won
2nd	Mondammej (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	9/4F	5
3rd	The Green Man (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Danny Brooke	50/1	2.5
4th	Rhythm N Hooves (GB) William Carson · Robert Cowell	18/1	.5
5th	Lakota Blue (GB) Clifford Lee · Roger Fell	13/2	2.5
6th	Fiscal Policy (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	7/1	.75
7th	True Promise (GB) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	7/2	1.25
8th	Royal Pleasure (IRE) Lewis Chalkley · Michael & David Easterby	22/1	11

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (6)	Mondammej Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	127	—	007112	76	100	84	4d	—	—	+5	31.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Thrived since wind op, winning twice and close second (all 5f here); bold show likely
2 (1)	True Promise Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	134	—	821153	83	98	80	12d	—	—	+7	26	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Good record on AW, including two wins this autumn; third to Alfa Whiteburd here latest
5 (9)	Cajetan Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Jack Channon	J:Edward Greatrex T:Jack Channon	133	p	161848	82	99	75	39d	—	—	-2	16.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Two AW wins (including C&D) earlier in year but hasn't fired since returning from break
8 (3)	Fiscal Policy Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	—	155116	78	95	80	9d	—	—	+11	22.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Four wins since August, including C&D; not seen to best effect last time
7 (4)	Lakota Blue Brown J:Clifford Lee T:Roger Fell	J:Clifford Lee T:Roger Fell	130	h	53-407	79	95	70	12d	—	—	0	9.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Lightly raced this year, shaping as if recent C&D outing for new yard was needed
1 (2)	Rhythm N Hooves Bay J:William Carson T:Robert Cowell	J:William Carson T:Robert Cowell	135	p	060204	84	95	80	12d	—	—	+6	12.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Promise when running on for fourth over 5f at Wolverhampton latest; player back at 6f
6 (5)	Royal Pleasure Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	130	t	770-48	79	98	-	210d	—	—	+2	9.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Caught the eye twice for new yard in May; off since but has a good AW record
3 (7)	The Green Man Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Danny Brooke	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Danny Brooke	133	p	80-500	82	94	61	70d	—	—	+7	8.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Hard to fancy on 2024 form but new yard can revive new recruits
NR (8)	Alfa Whiteburd Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Craig Lidster	J:NON-RUNNER T:Craig Lidster	133	—	118171	82	96	-	12d	—	—	—	25	—	—
Progressive on AW, gaining fourth win since September over C&D 12 days ago; should go well

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mondammej	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
True Promise	3/1	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Cajetan	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Fiscal Policy	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	8/1
Lakota Blue	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Rhythm N Hooves	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Royal Pleasure	11/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	10/1
The Green Man	66/1	80/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Alfa Whiteburd	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mondammej

31.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 17 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

True Promise

OR: 8.3 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Alfa Whiteburd

OR: 8 Form: 17 Odds: 0

—

Fiscal Policy

22.3

OR: 7 Form: 12 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Cajetan

16.2

OR: 8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Rhythm N Hooves

12.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Lakota Blue

9.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Royal Pleasure

9.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

The Green Man

8.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rhythm N Hooves	84	95	80
True Promise	83	98	80
Cajetan	82	99	75
The Green Man	82	94	61
Alfa Whiteburd	82	96	—
Lakota Blue	79	95	70
Royal Pleasure	79	98	—
Fiscal Policy	78	95	80
Mondammej	76	100	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mondammej	4d ago	Quick return
Fiscal Policy	9d ago	Quick return
True Promise	12d ago	Quick return
Lakota Blue	12d ago	Quick return
Rhythm N Hooves	12d ago	Quick return
Alfa Whiteburd	12d ago	Quick return
Cajetan	39d ago	Fit
The Green Man	70d ago	Fresh
Royal Pleasure	210d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.