£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:45

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-21

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Whats In The Bag Bay J:Sean Levey T:S Woods	J:Sean Levey T:S Woods	133	—	22-372	72	86	59	18d	—	—	-17	15.5	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Handicap mark unchanged after latest fast-finishing second at Lingfield; leading contender
5 (6)	Muscika Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	133	v	792264	72	88	61	47d	—	—	-1	13.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Veteran who is fully effective over C&D; not beaten far here last time; not ruled out
3 (1)	One More Wave Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jonathan Portman	J:Hector Crouch T:Jonathan Portman	134	—	338157	73	87	76	8d	—	—	-1	16.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Not at best the last twice but returning to 6f won't hurt and he's well drawn this time
9 (4)	Havana Sky Brown J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed Dunlop	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed Dunlop	121	—	430111	60	89	80	7d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+15	29.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won his last three, all over 6f in Class 6 company; 2lb rise fair but this a warmer race
1 (2)	Minnesota Lad Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	135	—	941006	74	84	-	104d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
2-21 when trained by Richard Fahey; sold for 10,000gns in October; others appeal more
7 (8)	Happy Tears Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Rossa Ryan T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	132	b	-51355	71	86	78	15d	—	—	+3	12.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
On a winning mark but often slowly away and needs to leave latest run behind her
8 (7)	Local Bay Brown J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	129	—	140708	68	86	52	36d	—	—	+3	5.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Handicapper relenting after some poor runs but suspicion he's vulnerable at 6f
NR (9)	Swift Storm Bay J:TBC T:Alice Haynes	J: T:Alice Haynes	135	t	3-334	74	86	13	30d	—	—	—	8.1	—	—
Began his career with two promising runs but disappointing on both starts this autumn
NR (3)	Jax Edge Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Christopher Mason	J:NON-RUNNER T:Christopher Mason	133	—	932011	72	-	-	19d	—	—	—	24.6	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Whats In The Bag	13/8	7/4	13/8	6/4	15/8
Muscika	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	5/1
One More Wave	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	7/2
Havana Sky	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2	5/1
Minnesota Lad	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2
Happy Tears	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Local Bay	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	66/1
Swift Storm	-	-	-	-	-
Jax Edge	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Havana Sky

29.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 22.6 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Jax Edge

24.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 19.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

One More Wave

16.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 5

5/1

Whats In The Bag

15.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 10

15/8

Muscika

13.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 4 Odds: 4

5/1

Happy Tears

12.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Minnesota Lad

12.3

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Swift Storm

8.1

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Local Bay

5.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Minnesota Lad	74	84	—
Swift Storm	74	86	13
One More Wave	73	87	76
Whats In The Bag	72	86	59
Muscika	72	88	61
Jax Edge	72	—	—
Happy Tears	71	86	78
Local Bay	68	86	52
Havana Sky	60	89	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Havana Sky	7d ago	Quick return
One More Wave	8d ago	Quick return
Happy Tears	15d ago	Fit
Whats In The Bag	18d ago	Fit
Jax Edge	19d ago	Fit
Swift Storm	30d ago	Fit
Local Bay	36d ago	Fit
Muscika	47d ago	Fresh
Minnesota Lad	104d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.