Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Fillies' Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:47

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-12-21

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 44.53s (slow by 7.53s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Electric Avenue (GB) Sam James · Ivan Furtado	16/1	Won
2nd	Callianassa (IRE) Shay Farmer · Brian Ellison	7/4F	.5
3rd	Disclosure (GB) Grace McEntee · George Boughey	14/1	9
4th	Mambha (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods	15/8	0.2
5th	Fior Di Bosco (GB) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	7/2	20
6th	Create (IRE) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	12/1	16

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Mambha Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	136	b	429151	67	77	70	28d	—	—	+2	28.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Two C&D wins from last three starts, latest in blinkers (on here); up 5lb; should go well
2 (2)	Fior Di Bosco Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	136	—	3356	67	79	43	131d	—	—	-12	14.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Promise in three novices but below-par on handicap/AW debut (favourite); can do better
5 (6)	Callianassa Bay J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	130	—	686828	61	77	71	16d	—	—	-9	12.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
0-18; good second to Mambha (4lb worse off) over C&D two runs ago; not so good last time
3 (1)	Disclosure Bay J:Grace McEntee T:George Boughey	J:Grace McEntee T:George Boughey	133	tp	-46576	64	77	60	7d	—	—	-1	5.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
0-7; beaten 10.5l on last two starts, latest in cheekpieces (on again); bit to prove
4 (5)	Electric Avenue Bay J:Sam James T:Ivan Furtado	J:Sam James T:Ivan Furtado	131	t	413529	61	76	40	66d	—	—	+5	10.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ex-George Baker; 4,000gns buy; two best runs over 7f at Brighton; stamina to prove
6 (3)	Create Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	128	p	319760	58	74	62	11d	—	—	+1	5.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
1m AW winner on debut; has since won over 7f on turf; on a fair mark; each-way chance

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Mambha	9/4	9/4	9/4
Fior Di Bosco	9/4	2/1	9/4
Callianassa	5/2	5/2	5/2
Disclosure	12/1	12/1	12/1
Electric Avenue	14/1	12/1	14/1
Create	20/1	18/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mambha

28.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 16 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Fior Di Bosco

14.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.4 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Callianassa

12.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Electric Avenue

10.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.4 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Disclosure

5.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Create

5.2

OR: 2 Form: 2 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mambha	67	77	70
Fior Di Bosco	67	79	43
Disclosure	64	77	60
Callianassa	61	77	71
Electric Avenue	61	76	40
Create	58	74	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Disclosure	7d ago	Quick return
Create	11d ago	Quick return
Callianassa	16d ago	Fit
Mambha	28d ago	Fit
Electric Avenue	66d ago	Fresh
Fior Di Bosco	131d ago	Long break