Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-28

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Pals Battalion Brown J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	137	v	514221	80	93	75	22d	—	—	+11	31.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Record of 14221 since wearing a visor, scoring over C&D most recently; very solid claims
2 (7)	Mahato Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	136	t	4-2562	79	91	70	14d	—	—	-5	12.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ran well off this mark at Wolverhampton two weeks ago and may do better still; respected
5 (2)	Caffu Zafeen Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Simcock	J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Simcock	131	—	92224	74	91	58	101d	—	—	+1	18.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Largely consistent five-race maiden for James Tate; gelded since last run; thereabouts
7 (1)	Beale Street Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	130	—	734141	73	91	82	11d	—	—	+11	25.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Has form figures of 141, all at this venue, since running in 6f handicaps; good claims
3 (11)	Admiral D Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	135	—	600279	78	92	55	14d	—	—	+2	12.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Inconsistent this year but has a fighting chance off current mark back down in grade
10 (8)	Showtime Mahomes Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	127	—	546134	70	90	81	15d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
In-form 5yo who ties in with a couple of these rivals on C&D running 22 days ago
9 (4)	Angel Of England Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	128	p	528426	71	89	63	25d	—	—	+5	11.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Best effort for new stable when second to Beale Street over C&D on penultimate start
6 (9)	Swift Storm Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	131	t	3-334	74	91	17	37d	—	—	+4	9.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Pedigree suggests he may benefit from this drop to 6f on handicap debut; not ruled out
11 (6)	Evocative Spark Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:John David Riches	J:Sean Kirrane T:John David Riches	127	—	074145	70	91	76	14d	—	—	+8	10.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Below par last time (stable debut) and is held by Mahato on that form
8 (5)	One More Dream Brown J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	130	—	550000	73	91	53	14d	—	—	+3	6.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Multiple AW scorer but has a big doubt over current form
4 (3)	Modern Times Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	132	tv	200309	75	92	65	14d	—	—	+6	8.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Maiden who went too freely in first-time visor most recently; drops back in distance

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Pals Battalion	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Mahato	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Caffu Zafeen	9/2	5/1	4/1	4/1	11/2
Beale Street	11/2	5/1	11/2	6/1	9/2
Admiral D	7/1	15/2	15/2	17/2	13/2
Showtime Mahomes	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Angel Of England	12/1	11/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Swift Storm	16/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	16/1
Evocative Spark	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
One More Dream	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1
Modern Times	33/1	25/1	33/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pals Battalion

31.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 18 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Beale Street

25.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Caffu Zafeen

18.5

OR: 6 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5

11/2

Showtime Mahomes

14.5

OR: 5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Admiral D

12.4

OR: 7 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Mahato

12.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Angel Of England

11.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Evocative Spark

10.9

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Swift Storm

9.5

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Modern Times

8.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

One More Dream

6.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pals Battalion	80	93	75
Mahato	79	91	70
Admiral D	78	92	55
Modern Times	75	92	65
Caffu Zafeen	74	91	58
Swift Storm	74	91	17
Beale Street	73	91	82
One More Dream	73	91	53
Angel Of England	71	89	63
Showtime Mahomes	70	90	81
Evocative Spark	70	91	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Beale Street	11d ago	Quick return
Mahato	14d ago	Fit
Admiral D	14d ago	Fit
Evocative Spark	14d ago	Fit
One More Dream	14d ago	Fit
Modern Times	14d ago	Fit
Showtime Mahomes	15d ago	Fit
Pals Battalion	22d ago	Fit
Angel Of England	25d ago	Fit
Swift Storm	37d ago	Fit
Caffu Zafeen	101d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.