BetMGM: It's Showtime Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-12-28

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,211

Winning Time 1m 13.67s (slow by 3.27s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	The Watcher (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	EvensF	Won
2nd	Showering (GB) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	6/4	1.5
3rd	Rainbow Nebula (FR) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	9/2	.75
4th	Fan Mail (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	50/1	.75
5th	Nave Force (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	80/1	8.5
6th	Oilisa (GB) Harry Russell · Mark Walford	100/1	.75
7th	Crackinthunder (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	100/1	.5
8th	Goldrush Glory (FR) Oisin McSweeney · Richard Fahey	33/1	1.75
9th	Diamond Dude (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Tracy Waggott	150/1	3
10th	El Cobre Fuego (GB) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler	100/1	0.3
11th	Hardlass (GB) Harrison Shaw · Grant Tuer	28/1	4.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Showering Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	137	—	1	-	88	-	22d	—	—	-19	24.2	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Well bred; promising debut (won nicely) in C&D event three weeks ago; the clear form pick
9 (10)	The Watcher Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-25	11.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Invincible Spirit half-brother to two winners; notable connections; interesting newcomer
8 (12)	Rainbow Nebula Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	130	v	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	4.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
120,000gns yearling; by Hello Youmzain; wears visor on debut; market helpful
10 (8)	Hardlass Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	125	—	05	-	76	-	184d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Both starts on turf; debut form (at Newmarket) gives her place claims in this field
6 (2)	Goldrush Glory Chestnut J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	130	—	6	-	65	26	9d	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Did enough at Southwell last week to suggest he has frame possibilities
5 (5)	Fan Mail Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	130	—	08	-	62	-	121d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
AW debutant who holds weak claims on his turf form
2 (4)	Crackinthunder Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	130	h	97	-	49	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Well held in a couple of sprint races here
7 (6)	Nave Force Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	130	—	—	-	41	18	45d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Last of 11 in Southwell maiden for an inauspicious debut
12 (7)	Oilisa Bay J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	125	—	7	-	57	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Finished about 9l behind Showering over C&D three weeks ago
4 (3)	El Cobre Fuego Chestnut J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	8	-	39	20	19d	—	—	-1	0.5	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Down the field in 5f contest at this venue
3 (1)	Diamond Dude Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Tracy Waggott	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Tracy Waggott	130	—	89	-	15	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
No form claims, having finished last in two C&D contests
NR (11)	Little Beck Annie Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	125	—	6	-	40	-	35d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Never-dangerous sixth in C&D contest five weeks ago

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Showering	evn	evn	Evens
The Watcher	5/4	5/4	11/8
Rainbow Nebula	11/2	6/1	11/2
Hardlass	33/1	25/1	28/1
Goldrush Glory	33/1	22/1	25/1
Fan Mail	66/1	40/1	50/1
Crackinthunder	150/1	80/1	100/1
Nave Force	200/1	100/1	100/1
Oilisa	200/1	100/1	100/1
El Cobre Fuego	200/1	80/1	80/1
Diamond Dude	300/1	250/1	200/1
Little Beck Annie	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Showering

24.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 14.2

Evens

2nd

The Watcher

11.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

11/8

3rd

Rainbow Nebula

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

6/1

Goldrush Glory

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Hardlass

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Fan Mail

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

El Cobre Fuego

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

200/1

Crackinthunder

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Nave Force

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Oilisa

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Diamond Dude

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Little Beck Annie

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Showering	—	88	—
The Watcher	—	—	—
Rainbow Nebula	—	—	—
Hardlass	—	76	—
Goldrush Glory	—	65	26
Fan Mail	—	62	—
Crackinthunder	—	49	—
Nave Force	—	41	18
Oilisa	—	57	—
El Cobre Fuego	—	39	20
Diamond Dude	—	15	—
Little Beck Annie	—	40	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Goldrush Glory	9d ago	Quick return
El Cobre Fuego	19d ago	Fit
Showering	22d ago	Fit
Crackinthunder	22d ago	Fit
Oilisa	22d ago	Fit
Diamond Dude	22d ago	Fit
Little Beck Annie	35d ago	Fit
Nave Force	45d ago	Fit
Fan Mail	121d ago	Long break
Hardlass	184d ago	Long break
The Watcher	—	—
Rainbow Nebula	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.