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Newcastle (AW)

17:00

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-12-28
Distance 1m5y
Class Class 6
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £4,711

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
7 (6)
Volenti
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Ben Haslam
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Ben Haslam
 133 — 321211
62
81
64
 11d — — +13
32.2
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Revelation since running here of late, winning three of his last four over C&D; player
4 (7)
Book Of Life
Grey
J:Dougie Costello
T:Ian Williams
J:Dougie Costello
T:Ian Williams
 134 p 743222
63
78
68
 6d — — +1
20.9
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Cheekpieces have helped but the string of near-misses may have happened for a reason
8 (1)
Lahab
Bay
J:Darragh Keenan
T:Michael Wigham
J:Darragh Keenan
T:Michael Wigham
 133 — 448572
62
81
69
 11d — — -1
11.6
1.88/1
15/2
12%
3lb better off with Trais Fluors tonight; the step back up in trip is the question
6 (11)
Callianassa
Bay
J:Shay Farmer(7)
T:Brian Ellison
J:Shay Farmer(7)
T:Brian Ellison
 134 — 868282
64
75
67
 7d — — +4
13.7
2.00/1
8/1
11%
3lb higher into a stronger race today and remains a maiden after 19 starts; needs more
9 (10)
Wyvern
Brown
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Patrick Morris
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Patrick Morris
 132 p 834146
61
73
58
 8d — — +2
10.9
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Found a weak C&D handicap when winning off 2lb lower last month; needs more
2 (12)
Paris Lights
Bay
J:David Nolan
T:Paul Midgley
J:David Nolan
T:Paul Midgley
 136 — 730535
65
77
62
 19d — — -1
9.5
2.50/1
10/1
9%
Step back up from 7f much in his favour; this will largely come down to how he gets away
12 (8)
Tasever
Bay
J:Ryan Kavanagh(7)
T:Patrick Morris
J:Ryan Kavanagh(7)
T:Patrick Morris
 130 p 621177
59
77
63
 8d — — +6
13.4
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Dual C&D winner for Ryan Kavanagh last month, latterly off 6lb lower; each-way shout
10 (4)
Mount King
Chestnut
J:Sean Kirrane
T:Tim Easterby
J:Sean Kirrane
T:Tim Easterby
 132 tp 355397
61
77
48
 61d — — 0
6
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Performed below market expectations all year and is some way down the pecking order
1 (3)
Mercurius Power
Bay
J:Ben Sanderson(3)
T:Jessica Macey
J:Ben Sanderson(3)
T:Jessica Macey
 136 tp 419432
65
77
66
 51d — — +8
14.6
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Dual course winner who boasts a consistent record over this trip on Tapeta; considered
3 (2)
Trais Fluors
b/br
J:Rowan Scott
T:Linda Perratt
J:Rowan Scott
T:Linda Perratt
 135 — 460151
64
82
64
 11d — — +14
20.2
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Goes well here; 4lb rise demands more but this mark may be within range in current form
5 (5)
Parish Councillor
Bay
J:Adam Farragher
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Adam Farragher
T:David & Nicola Barron
 134 — 558988
63
77
30
 82d — — 0
4.3
6.25/1
25/1
4%
The handicapper has been quick to ease off but would want to see some support
NR (9)
Grovely Belle
Bay
J:Pierre-Louis Jamin
T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque
J:Pierre-Louis Jamin
T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque
 130 tv 47399
60
74
58
 10d — — —
4
— —
Struggled in a couple of starts since handicapping and isn't easily recommended
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Volenti
 10/3 7/2 10/3 10/3 3/1
Book Of Life
 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2
Lahab
 13/2 13/2 13/2 15/2 6/1
Callianassa
 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 15/2
Wyvern
 9/1 9/1 17/2 17/2 9/1
Paris Lights
 9/1 10/1 9/1 9/1 10/1
Tasever
 11/1 12/1 11/1 11/1 12/1
Mount King
 14/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 14/1
Mercurius Power
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Trais Fluors
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1
Parish Councillor
 20/1 20/1 18/1 18/1 25/1
Grovely Belle
 - - - - -

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Volenti
32.2
OR: 3 Form: 23.5 Odds: 5.7
7/2
2nd Book Of Life
20.9
OR: 3.3 Form: 11.9 Odds: 5.7
9/2
3rd Trais Fluors
20.2
OR: 3.5 Form: 15 Odds: 1.7
12/1
4 Mercurius Power
14.6
OR: 3.8 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.7
12/1
5 Callianassa
13.7
OR: 3.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.7
8/1
6 Tasever
13.4
OR: 2.3 Form: 9 Odds: 2.1
12/1
7 Lahab
11.6
OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6
15/2
8 Wyvern
10.9
OR: 2.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.5
9/1
9 Paris Lights
9.5
OR: 3.8 Form: 2.7 Odds: 3.1
10/1
10 Mount King
6
OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7
14/1
11 Parish Councillor
4.3
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
25/1
12 Grovely Belle
4
OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
—

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Paris Lights
65
77
62
Mercurius Power
65
77
66
Callianassa
64
75
67
Trais Fluors
64
82
64
Book Of Life
63
78
68
Parish Councillor
63
77
30
Volenti
62
81
64
Lahab
62
81
69
Wyvern
61
73
58
Mount King
61
77
48
Grovely Belle
60
74
58
Tasever
59
77
63

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Book Of Life 6d ago Quick return
Callianassa 7d ago Quick return
Wyvern 8d ago Quick return
Tasever 8d ago Quick return
Grovely Belle 10d ago Quick return
Volenti 11d ago Quick return
Lahab 11d ago Quick return
Trais Fluors 11d ago Quick return
Paris Lights 19d ago Fit
Mercurius Power 51d ago Fresh
Mount King 61d ago Fresh
Parish Councillor 82d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.