Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:30

Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-12-28

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (6)	Blue Lakota Chestnut J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Kevin Ryan	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Kevin Ryan	136	—	902211	71	77	65	9d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+6	35.1	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Two nurseries wins in December; another 5lb rise should not stop him going close
5 (9)	On Key Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	133	—	2635	68	75	66	40d	—	—	-5	13.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Closely related to stable's top sprinter Shaquille; should be suited by this return to 6f
4 (5)	Laurens Dream Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	134	—	321135	69	77	70	14d	—	—	+4	20.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Likes it here; not disgraced when fifth at Southwell last time; very much in the mix
3 (8)	Monomyth Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ollie Sangster	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ollie Sangster	135	p	612595	70	82	76	24d	—	—	-2	12.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Has taken backward step last three starts; needs cheekpieces to have a revitalising effect
7 (1)	Startling Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	130	—	171251	65	75	68	7d	—	—	+12	21.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Tough filly; third nursery win came here last week; chance if seeing out this longer trip
2 (10)	Triple Charged Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	135	—	43705	70	75	-	163d	—	—	0	8.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Finished last in two nurseries in July but he might now improve for having been gelded
9 (7)	Lima Sierra Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	121	—	65632	56	79	60	50d	—	—	+4	10.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-5 but knocking at the door, second of five over C&D in November; not dismissed lightly
6 (2)	Fallen Soldier Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	131	—	842720	66	81	72	14d	—	—	+6	10.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Has claims on neck second at Chelmsford but raced freely and finished last next time
8 (3)	Final Angel Grey J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	122	—	485703	57	80	53	16d	—	—	+2	5.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
No threat when third 16 days ago; slipping in the weights but needs something extra
10 (4)	Andalseeyagraham Bay J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	114	—	09040	49	69	50	22d	—	—	-1	0.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Unplaced all starts and ran as if amiss last time; hard to fancy from out of the weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Blue Lakota	11/4	3/1	3/1	11/4	5/2
On Key	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Laurens Dream	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Monomyth	9/2	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Startling	17/2	9/1	17/2	10/1	17/2
Triple Charged	12/1	12/1	12/1	9/1	12/1
Lima Sierra	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Fallen Soldier	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	16/1
Final Angel	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Andalseeyagraham	150/1	80/1	100/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blue Lakota

35.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 21 Odds: 8.9

3/1

2nd

Startling

21.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 15.5 Odds: 2.7

10/1

3rd

Laurens Dream

20.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 11.1 Odds: 5

9/2

On Key

13.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Monomyth

12.5

OR: 5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Lima Sierra

10.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Fallen Soldier

10.2

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Triple Charged

8.1

OR: 5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Final Angel

5.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Andalseeyagraham

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Lakota	71	77	65
Monomyth	70	82	76
Triple Charged	70	75	—
Laurens Dream	69	77	70
On Key	68	75	66
Fallen Soldier	66	81	72
Startling	65	75	68
Final Angel	57	80	53
Lima Sierra	56	79	60
Andalseeyagraham	49	69	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Startling	7d ago	Quick return
Blue Lakota	9d ago	Quick return
Laurens Dream	14d ago	Fit
Fallen Soldier	14d ago	Fit
Final Angel	16d ago	Fit
Andalseeyagraham	22d ago	Fit
Monomyth	24d ago	Fit
On Key	40d ago	Fit
Lima Sierra	50d ago	Fresh
Triple Charged	163d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.