Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Nursery Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

12:44

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-12-31

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 12.60s (slow by 3.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Horus (GB) Sean Levey · Michael Keady	100/30J	Won
2nd	Friday Again (IRE) Luke Morris · Simon Dow	17/2	2
3rd	Kiss Me My Love (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Charlie Johnston	7/2	0.3
4th	Cristalino (IRE) David Probert · Kevin Philippart De Foy	11/1	1.25
5th	Apple's Angel (IRE) Tyler Heard · Simon Dow	33/1	.5
6th	Flicka's Girl (GB) Richard Kingscote · David Loughnane	4/1	.75
7th	Mystical Elegance (GB) Finley Marsh · Simon Hodgson	14/1	2
8th	Makes Me Wonder (GB) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	100/30J	0.3

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (4)	Makes Me Wonder Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	125	—	986	59	71	47	94d	—	—	-12	8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Drops in trip for nursery debut and he's been improving race by race; betting to guide
7 (8)	Horus Bay J:Sean Levey T:Michael Keady	J:Sean Levey T:Michael Keady	129	—	52498	63	75	45	96d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-9	10.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Overall profile unconvincing; hopes rest on the change of surface sparking something extra
1 (7)	Kiss Me My Love Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	221046	69	74	-	149d	—	—	-3	13.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Absent since finishing last at Haydock in August; encouragement for AW on paper
2 (6)	Flicka's Girl Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	134	—	420867	68	74	52	18d	—	—	-6	9.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Looked promising in the spring; needs to leave recent nursery debut well behind her
3 (3)	Cristalino Bay J:David Probert T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:David Probert T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	132	—	73050	66	75	61	69d	—	—	-2	7.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Bred to be useful but yet to achieve a great deal in two nursery runs; dropped 5lb
8 (1)	Friday Again Bay J:Luke Morris T:Simon Dow	J:Luke Morris T:Simon Dow	128	—	885	62	74	47	52d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Promise in three AW runs and rates a likely improver now handicapping at a modest level
4 (2)	Mystical Elegance Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Simon Hodgson	J:Finley Marsh T:Simon Hodgson	131	—	023840	65	69	52	29d	—	—	+2	6.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
One run in June that gives her claims but she was well-beaten at 66-1 on her stable debut
10 (5)	Apple's Angel Chestnut J:Tyler Heard T:Simon Dow	J:Tyler Heard T:Simon Dow	117	h	691078	51	76	72	12d	—	—	+2	3.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Disappointing since her Chelmsford win in October; stable also runs Friday Again
NR (9)	Marvelously Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Amy Murphy	J:NON-RUNNER T:Amy Murphy	131	b	6539	65	71	64	49d	—	—	—	5.9	—	—
Needs improvement now switched to a nursery but possible the new headgear will spark it
NR (10)	Early Release Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	130	—	58971	64	77	59	12d	—	—	—	13.5	—	—
Made a winning stable debut at Southwell 12 days ago; could be more to come but drawn wide

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Makes Me Wonder	3/1	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Horus	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	4/1
Kiss Me My Love	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1
Flicka's Girl	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Cristalino	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Friday Again	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	11/2
Mystical Elegance	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Apple's Angel	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
Marvelously	-	-	-	-	-
Early Release	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kiss Me My Love

13.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 4 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Early Release

13.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Horus

10.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Flicka's Girl

9.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Makes Me Wonder

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Cristalino

7.6

OR: 4 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Mystical Elegance

6.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Friday Again

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Marvelously

5.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Apple's Angel

3.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kiss Me My Love	69	74	—
Flicka's Girl	68	74	52
Cristalino	66	75	61
Mystical Elegance	65	69	52
Marvelously	65	71	64
Early Release	64	77	59
Horus	63	75	45
Friday Again	62	74	47
Makes Me Wonder	59	71	47
Apple's Angel	51	76	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Apple's Angel	12d ago	Quick return
Early Release	12d ago	Quick return
Flicka's Girl	18d ago	Fit
Mystical Elegance	29d ago	Fit
Marvelously	49d ago	Fresh
Friday Again	52d ago	Fresh
Cristalino	69d ago	Fresh
Makes Me Wonder	94d ago	Long break
Horus	96d ago	Long break
Kiss Me My Love	149d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.