BetMGM: It's Showtime / EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands C & D) (GBB Race) (Div II)

Lingfield (AW)

12:14

Date 2024-12-31

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (8)	This Farh Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	133	—	25	-	76	-	137d	—	—	-24	16.8	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Two encouraging runs on turf (6f, good) in August; been gelded; good chance in weak race
4 (5)	Dancing Terror Bay J:Sean Levey T:Amanda Perrett	J:Sean Levey T:Amanda Perrett	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Half-brother to three winners out of a 6f winner; starts out in a weak race; check betting
1 (3)	Almutraf Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charles Hills	133	—	06	-	57	33	20d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Couldn't justify market support at Kempton last time but clearly thought capable of better
2 (10)	Kazakh Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Amy Murphy	J:Luke Morris T:Amy Murphy	133	t	8	-	54	41	15d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Green off the bridle when eighth on recent Wolverhampton debut; should know more here
6 (1)	Saidha Chestnut J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	128	—	8	-	56	37	27d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Kempton debut (6f) wasn't without hope but likely she's a longer-term prospect
5 (9)	Nutcracker Grey Roan J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	131	—	—	-	60	49	27d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well beaten when 250-1 for this month's debut at Kempton (1m); big step forward needed
7 (4)	Black Falcon Black J:Callum Hutchinson T:Brian Toomey	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Brian Toomey	126	—	05	-	66	36	47d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Took a step forward on her second start when 5th at Chelmsford last month; can do better
10 (2)	Straighttothepoint Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Michael Attwater	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Michael Attwater	126	—	347618	-	73	46	20d	—	—	+5	7.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
5.5f win in France; well-beaten 100-1 shot on British/stable debut; bit to prove
9 (7)	Spinning Dancer Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:J S Moore	J:Kieran O'Neill T:J S Moore	126	—	888	-	60	31	47d	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Eighth in three runs at up 7f; improvement required
8 (6)	Diligent Madam Bay J:Charles Bishop T:David Evans	J:Charles Bishop T:David Evans	126	—	07	-	56	44	17d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Modest form in two sprint runs this month; new trip not enough to tempt

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
This Farh	evn	evn	evn	evn	Evens
Dancing Terror	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1	9/2
Almutraf	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Kazakh	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	15/2
Saidha	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Nutcracker	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Black Falcon	22/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Straighttothepoint	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Spinning Dancer	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Diligent Madam	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

This Farh

16.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 13.3

Evens

2nd

Straighttothepoint

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

40/1

3rd

Dancing Terror

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Almutraf

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Kazakh

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Saidha

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Nutcracker

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Black Falcon

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Spinning Dancer

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Diligent Madam

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
This Farh	—	76	—
Dancing Terror	—	—	—
Almutraf	—	57	33
Kazakh	—	54	41
Saidha	—	56	37
Nutcracker	—	60	49
Black Falcon	—	66	36
Straighttothepoint	—	73	46
Spinning Dancer	—	60	31
Diligent Madam	—	56	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kazakh	15d ago	Fit
Diligent Madam	17d ago	Fit
Almutraf	20d ago	Fit
Straighttothepoint	20d ago	Fit
Saidha	27d ago	Fit
Nutcracker	27d ago	Fit
Black Falcon	47d ago	Fresh
Spinning Dancer	47d ago	Fresh
This Farh	137d ago	Long break
Dancing Terror	—	—