BetUK Quebec Stakes (Listed Race) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:44

BetUK Quebec Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-12-31

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £28,355

Winning Time 2m 2.77s (slow by 1.47s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Royal Champion (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	5/6F	Won
2nd	Tyrrhenian Sea (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	6/4	1.75
3rd	Auld Toon Loon (IRE) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	22/1	8
4th	Fantasy Believer (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ed Walker	22/1	0.3
5th	Pride Of America (FR) Luke Morris · Amy Murphy	14/1	9.5
6th	Lia Rose (GB) David Probert · Rae Guest	200/1	2.25

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Royal Champion Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	136	—	32-620	113	122	-	52d	—	—	-13	29.9	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Smart for R Varian; retained ability in Australia this autumn; contender on yard/AW debut
5 (5)	Tyrrhenian Sea Grey J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	136	—	021-33	106	115	95	45d	—	—	-11	25.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Won this race in 2023; only seen twice since but retains significant ability; good chance
3 (6)	Pride Of America Bay J:Luke Morris T:Amy Murphy	J:Luke Morris T:Amy Murphy	136	tp	1322-9	106	117	32	25d	—	—	+10	15.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Developed into smart performer in 2023; low-key return from 13 months off; wind op since
1 (3)	Auld Toon Loon Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	136	t	574-14	94	103	-	52d	—	—	+6	12.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Two fine runs for T Dascombe, fourth in November Handicap latest; more to prove on AW
2 (2)	Fantasy Believer Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	136	—	119033	92	103	85	20d	—	—	+14	18.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
As good as ever as a 7yo but he'll need a personal-best to take this; usually fluffs start
6 (4)	Lia Rose Grey J:David Probert T:Rae Guest	J:David Probert T:Rae Guest	129	—	232182	71	86	74	17d	—	—	+17	17.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Improving 3yo filly but she's been thrown in at the deep end here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Royal Champion	evn	11/10	evn	10/11	10/11
Tyrrhenian Sea	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4	6/5
Pride Of America	14/1	12/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Auld Toon Loon	14/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	10/1
Fantasy Believer	20/1	18/1	20/1	25/1	20/1
Lia Rose	150/1	125/1	150/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Royal Champion

29.9

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Tyrrhenian Sea

25.8

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

11/8

3rd

Fantasy Believer

18.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Lia Rose

17.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Pride Of America

15.6

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Auld Toon Loon

12.9

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Royal Champion	113	122	—
Tyrrhenian Sea	106	115	95
Pride Of America	106	117	32
Auld Toon Loon	94	103	—
Fantasy Believer	92	103	85
Lia Rose	71	86	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lia Rose	17d ago	Fit
Fantasy Believer	20d ago	Fit
Pride Of America	25d ago	Fit
Tyrrhenian Sea	45d ago	Fit
Royal Champion	52d ago	Fresh
Auld Toon Loon	52d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.