Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

13:03

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap

Date 2025-01-08

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 2.90s (slow by 5.40s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Oakley Boy (GB) Clifford Lee · Stuart Williams	6/1	Won
2nd	Fallen Soldier (IRE) Warren Fentiman · John & Sean Quinn	12/1	0.05
3rd	Fiorella Princess (IRE) Adam Farragher · Amy Murphy	10/1	0.05
4th	Startling (GB) Cian Horgan · David O'Meara	25/1	.5
5th	Dandy Magic (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	100/30	.75
6th	Atherstone Beau (GB) Rowan Scott · Roger Fell	33/1	0.3
7th	Star Chorus (IRE) Oisin Orr · Andrew Balding	3/1	2
8th	Blinky (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Ed Walker	11/4F	3.25

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Star Chorus Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Orr T:Andrew Balding	134	h	033-4	73	76	53	4d	—	—	-11	13	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Ran well over C&D two starts ago; interesting back here on handicap debut
3 (8)	Blinky Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson T:Ed Walker	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Ed Walker	135	—	53463-	74	83	70	19d	—	—	-6	16.6	0.75/1	3/1 25%
More exposed than some of these rivals but has a fighting chance off this mark
2 (2)	Dandy Magic Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	135	—	37801-	74	79	49	47d	—	—	+3	22.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made a winning AW debut here in November and the form has been advertised since
5 (4)	Oakley Boy Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Stuart Williams	J:Clifford Lee T:Stuart Williams	132	v	64612-	71	82	60	37d	—	—	+5	22.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has taken well to visor, winning at Lingfield then good second at Wolverhampton
1 (6)	Fiorella Princess Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	135	—	2125-	74	76	64	26d	—	—	+11	17.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Better than bare result last time and may still have further progress in her
6 (7)	Fallen Soldier Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:John & Sean Quinn	126	—	27204-	65	82	77	11d	—	—	+4	8.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Possibilities off current mark, provided the return to 5f suits
7 (5)	Startling Bay J:Cian Horgan(5) T:David O'Meara	J:Cian Horgan(5) T:David O'Meara	126	—	12519-	65	79	72	11d	—	—	+12	15	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Three Class 6 wins; held in Class 5 here last time; bit to prove
8 (1)	Atherstone Beau Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	125	—	3425-	64	77	-	79d	—	—	+6	8.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Form dipped on latest turf outing; bred to be suited by AW

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Star Chorus	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4
Blinky	5/2	3/1	11/4	11/4	5/2
Dandy Magic	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Oakley Boy	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Fiorella Princess	18/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Fallen Soldier	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	16/1
Startling	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Atherstone Beau	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dandy Magic

22.3

OR: 6 Form: 10.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Oakley Boy

22.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 12 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Fiorella Princess

17.7

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Blinky

16.6

OR: 6 Form: 3.9 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Startling

OR: 3.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Star Chorus

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Fallen Soldier

8.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Atherstone Beau

8.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blinky	74	83	70
Dandy Magic	74	79	49
Fiorella Princess	74	76	64
Star Chorus	73	76	53
Oakley Boy	71	82	60
Fallen Soldier	65	82	77
Startling	65	79	72
Atherstone Beau	64	77	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Star Chorus	4d ago	Quick return
Fallen Soldier	11d ago	Quick return
Startling	11d ago	Quick return
Blinky	19d ago	Fit
Fiorella Princess	26d ago	Fit
Oakley Boy	37d ago	Fit
Dandy Magic	47d ago	Fresh
Atherstone Beau	79d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.