BetMGM: It's Showtime Fillies' Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:15

BetMGM: It's Showtime Fillies' Handicap

Date 2025-01-11

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Brazilian Rose Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	134	—	3308-1	67	81	56	9d	—	—	-3	21.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
5lb higher than when winning over C&D nine days ago; could step forward again
3 (5)	Dazy Mazy Brown J:David Nolan T:John Mackie	J:David Nolan T:John Mackie	134	—	00733-	67	80	59	39d	—	—	-3	14.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has finished third in her last two starts here; should go well again from the same mark
5 (3)	Bella Kopella Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	130	t	5886-7	63	80	66	8d	—	—	-9	8.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Disappointing last time, but not easy to dismiss from 9lb lower than when last successful
1 (1)	Emily Post Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	135	h	5U420-	68	80	65	13d	—	—	-3	12	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Disappointed last time but had previously been beaten a neck over C&D; in the mix
6 (7)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	122	—	7747-4	55	80	62	9d	—	—	-5	3.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
9lb below last winning mark and a fair run last time, but others are still more compelling
4 (6)	Biplane Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	133	p	21868-	66	80	64	39d	—	—	+4	9.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
1-1 over 6f, but she probably needs further than this on the AW
7 (4)	Miami Hills Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	120	p	5843-	53	75	58	61d	—	—	0	5.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Fair third on handicap debut over C&D in November, but needs to find more; cheekpieces on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Brazilian Rose	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2
Dazy Mazy	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Bella Kopella	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Emily Post	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Giselles Izzy	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Biplane	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Miami Hills	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brazilian Rose

21.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Dazy Mazy

14.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Emily Post

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Biplane

9.6

OR: 4 Form: 4 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Bella Kopella

8.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Miami Hills

5.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Giselles Izzy

3.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Emily Post	68	80	65
Brazilian Rose	67	81	56
Dazy Mazy	67	80	59
Biplane	66	80	64
Bella Kopella	63	80	66
Giselles Izzy	55	80	62
Miami Hills	53	75	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bella Kopella	8d ago	Quick return
Brazilian Rose	9d ago	Quick return
Giselles Izzy	9d ago	Quick return
Emily Post	13d ago	Quick return
Dazy Mazy	39d ago	Fit
Biplane	39d ago	Fit
Miami Hills	61d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.