Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:45

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-01-11

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 28.36s (slow by 4.56s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Showhound (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	33/1	Won
2nd	Streak Lightning (IRE) Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	9/2	.5
3rd	Bobby Joe Leg (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	10/1	.75
4th	Callianassa (IRE) Shay Farmer · Brian Ellison	9/1	0.2
5th	Arantes Nascimento (GB) Oisin McSweeney · Julie Camacho	15/8F	1.25
6th	Volenti (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam	7/1	.75
7th	Trais Fluors (GB) Kaiya Fraser · Linda Perratt	9/2	.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Lahab (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Michael Wigham	15/2

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Arantes Nascimento Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Julie Camacho	133	h	78462-	65	84	59	33d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-13	18.8	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Went close over C&D last month on first run after wind surgery; respected up 2lb
5 (5)	Trais Fluors b/br J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Linda Perratt	132	—	01517-	64	82	67	14d	—	—	+3	17.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two wins here from last four starts and has claims if this sets up for his closing style
1 (7)	Streak Lightning Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	135	p	8833-2	67	82	62	9d	—	—	-2	13.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Four-time course winner who chased home an odds-on rival here last week; respected
6 (3)	Callianassa Bay J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	131	—	82824-	63	78	70	14d	—	—	+1	10.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-20 but she's run well here in three of her last four starts; in the mix back in trip
9 (1)	Volenti Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	130	—	12116-	62	81	67	14d	—	—	+12	21	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Didn't fire in hat-trick bid here latest and his last 7f run was in 2022; others preferred
8 (4)	Lahab Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Wigham	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Wigham	130	—	5729-3	62	82	65	9d	—	—	-2	9.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Record of 1-22 but he was placed here last week and has possibilities back up in trip
3 (2)	Bobby Joe Leg Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	b	3747-6	66	83	61	9d	—	—	-1	5.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
14-time AW winner but he's finished down the field in last four runs; needs to find more
7 (6)	Showhound Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	v	28097-	62	78	48	13d	—	—	+2	4.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Struggled switched to AW in his last three runs and this trip is an unknown factor
NR (9)	Blackjack Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	135	b	9324-7	67	80	70	10d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
All wins have been at 6f and he's 0-8 at this trip; others are more persuasive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Arantes Nascimento	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8
Trais Fluors	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	11/2
Streak Lightning	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Callianassa	9/1	7/1	17/2	8/1	10/1
Volenti	8/1	8/1	17/2	15/2	15/2
Lahab	8/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	11/2
Bobby Joe Leg	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	16/1
Showhound	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Blackjack	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Volenti

OR: 3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

2nd

Arantes Nascimento

18.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 10

13/8

3rd

Trais Fluors

17.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Streak Lightning

13.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Callianassa

10.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Lahab

9.3

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Bobby Joe Leg

5.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Showhound

4.6

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Blackjack

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Streak Lightning	67	82	62
Blackjack	67	80	70
Bobby Joe Leg	66	83	61
Arantes Nascimento	65	84	59
Trais Fluors	64	82	67
Callianassa	63	78	70
Volenti	62	81	67
Lahab	62	82	65
Showhound	62	78	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Streak Lightning	9d ago	Quick return
Lahab	9d ago	Quick return
Bobby Joe Leg	9d ago	Quick return
Blackjack	10d ago	Quick return
Showhound	13d ago	Quick return
Trais Fluors	14d ago	Fit
Callianassa	14d ago	Fit
Volenti	14d ago	Fit
Arantes Nascimento	33d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.