BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2025-01-14

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Tasever Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Patrick Morris	132	p	1773-1	65	83	71	6d	—	—	-5	21.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Resumed winning ways in excellent style here six days ago; obvious claims under a 5lb pen
1 (6)	Paris Lights Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	135	—	05351-	68	78	63	17d	—	—	+2	21.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Landed C&D handicap 17 days ago; up 3lb but he can't be discounted if on his A-game again
5 (8)	Cusack Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	131	p	88943-	64	81	57	17d	—	—	-6	11.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Arrives in good nick, third here latest; this three-time C&D winner enters calculations
6 (2)	Profitman Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:B F Brookhouse	J:Billy Loughnane T:B F Brookhouse	131	t	6142-5	64	78	73	6d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
First past the post at Southwell and a solid Kempton fifth six days ago; needs considering
9 (4)	Commander Crouch Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Gemma Tutty	123	—	9352-4	56	81	70	11d	—	—	-5	4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Not discredited when fourth of ten in 1m Southwell handicap 11 days ago; possibilities
7 (1)	Miners Gamble Bay J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	130	p	57413-	63	79	54	121d	0W/0P 1 run	—	+10	14.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Off since good third at Doncaster in September; still much respected after a break
2 (3)	Mambha Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Michael Dods	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Michael Dods	134	b	91514-	67	78	72	24d	—	—	+11	15.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Well-held fourth of six here 24 days ago; this C&D winner is worth another chance
8 (9)	Rob's Umberella Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	125	v	00726-	58	79	71	25d	—	—	+2	6.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Still to get his head in front but comes here in decent nick; shortlisted off easing mark
3 (5)	Bird Of Play Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Liam Bailey	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Liam Bailey	132	—	747/0-	65	76	-	268d	—	—	+3	4.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Off for eight months since last of 14 at Musselburgh for his new yard; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tasever	2/1	2/1	2/1	9/4	2/1
Paris Lights	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Cusack	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
Profitman	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	11/2
Commander Crouch	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Miners Gamble	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	20/1
Mambha	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1	20/1
Rob's Umberella	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	28/1
Bird Of Play	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tasever

21.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Paris Lights

21.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Mambha

15.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Miners Gamble

14.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Cusack

11.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

Profitman

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Rob's Umberella

6.7

OR: 2 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Bird Of Play

4.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Commander Crouch

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Paris Lights	68	78	63
Mambha	67	78	72
Tasever	65	83	71
Bird Of Play	65	76	—
Cusack	64	81	57
Profitman	64	78	73
Miners Gamble	63	79	54
Rob's Umberella	58	79	71
Commander Crouch	56	81	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tasever	6d ago	Quick return
Profitman	6d ago	Quick return
Commander Crouch	11d ago	Quick return
Paris Lights	17d ago	Fit
Cusack	17d ago	Fit
Mambha	24d ago	Fit
Rob's Umberella	25d ago	Fit
Miners Gamble	121d ago	Long break
Bird Of Play	268d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.