Boost Your Acca At Betmgm Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:00

Boost Your Acca At Betmgm Handicap

Date 2025-01-23

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 42.01s (slow by 4.31s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bajan Bandit (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Grant Tuer	11/1	Won
2nd	Lerwick (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	17/2	1
3rd	Hitched (IRE) Luke Morris · David Simcock	3/1F	.5
4th	Cavalry Call (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon & Ed Crisford	5/1	.75
5th	Flag Of St George (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Jane Chapple-Hyam	18/1	.5
6th	Chuzzlewit (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	16/1	0.05
7th	Encourageable (IRE) Adam Farragher · James Horton	40/1	0.1
8th	King's School (GB) Warren Fentiman · Gemma Tutty	22/1	.75
9th	Gincident (IRE) Oisin McSweeney · Richard Fahey	17/2	0.3
10th	Grabajabba (GB) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	11/1	1.5
11th	Bowood (GB) Elle-May Croot · Ivan Furtado	7/2	0.3
12th	First Kiss (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Ollie Sangster	66/1	6.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Hitched Bay J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	131	h	132-12	78	94	77	5d	—	—	-11	15	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Form figures of 1113212 since November; due to go up 2lb in future
1 (3)	Bowood Bay J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	135	—	0622-4	82	98	62	14d	—	—	-4	13	1.00/1	4/1 20%
0-13 on AW but went close twice over C&D in December; fighting chance
3 (11)	Lerwick Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	133	b	1524-7	80	96	68	12d	—	—	-1	10.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Close second over C&D in October; good chance if he takes to blinkers
6 (8)	Cavalry Call Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	129	—	21028-	76	94	70	48d	—	—	+6	17.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Best AW form when close second on two occasions; could go well
5 (4)	Grabajabba Bay J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	130	—	411-	77	94	53	24d	—	—	+16	26.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Record is 2-3; interesting handicap debutant, assuming he stays new trip
11 (12)	Gincident Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	128	h	93655-	75	97	64	25d	—	—	+2	9.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
No win since 2023 but remains attractively treated on best form
9 (10)	Chuzzlewit Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	129	—	93907-	76	92	74	42d	—	—	+3	9.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
On a handy mark but has a doubt over current form
10 (5)	King's School Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Gemma Tutty	128	tp	411-43	75	95	76	9d	—	—	+2	8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Consistent at Newcastle (mostly over 7f) since September
8 (6)	Bajan Bandit Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Grant Tuer	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Grant Tuer	129	—	04309-	76	92	44	83d	—	—	+5	9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Remains well handicapped on best turf form; second AW attempt
12 (2)	Flag Of St George Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	87/60-	75	91	48	28d	—	—	+3	7.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has enough to prove upped further in distance
7 (9)	First Kiss Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	129	p	3/918-	76	91	63	25d	—	—	+7	9.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won her final start for the Gosdens; not so good over C&D since
2 (7)	Encourageable Bay J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	134	b	4287-0	81	92	40	8d	—	—	+7	8.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Chance depends on how well he responds to first-time blinkers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Hitched	9/4	9/4	9/4	2/1	5/2
Bowood	7/2	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2
Lerwick	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	6/1
Cavalry Call	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	11/2
Grabajabba	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	13/2
Gincident	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	9/1
Chuzzlewit	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
King's School	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	11/1
Bajan Bandit	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
Flag Of St George	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	16/1
First Kiss	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Encourageable	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Grabajabba

26.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 17 Odds: 2.9

17/2

2nd

Cavalry Call

17.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Hitched

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Bowood

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Lerwick

10.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Gincident

9.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.1

12/1

First Kiss

9.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Chuzzlewit

9.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Bajan Bandit

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Encourageable

8.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

King's School

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Flag Of St George

7.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bowood	82	98	62
Encourageable	81	92	40
Lerwick	80	96	68
Hitched	78	94	77
Grabajabba	77	94	53
Cavalry Call	76	94	70
Chuzzlewit	76	92	74
Bajan Bandit	76	92	44
First Kiss	76	91	63
Gincident	75	97	64
King's School	75	95	76
Flag Of St George	75	91	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hitched	5d ago	Quick return
Encourageable	8d ago	Quick return
King's School	9d ago	Quick return
Lerwick	12d ago	Quick return
Bowood	14d ago	Fit
Grabajabba	24d ago	Fit
Gincident	25d ago	Fit
First Kiss	25d ago	Fit
Flag Of St George	28d ago	Fit
Chuzzlewit	42d ago	Fit
Cavalry Call	48d ago	Fresh
Bajan Bandit	83d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.