Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Classified Stakes – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:35

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Classified Stakes

Date 2025-01-25

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Believe Me Now Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	135	t	3634-1	50	65	43	15d	—	—	-14	21.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Won over C&D 15 days ago; quickly backed up the form when she scored last August
1 (4)	Monsieur Fantaisie Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Peter Niven	J:Joanna Mason T:Peter Niven	136	p	073-21	51	64	54	10d	—	—	-18	8.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Flourishing over 7f, twice close up before he won a classified at Southwell ten days ago
6 (6)	Elettaria Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	135	p	3536-6	46	59	54	23d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Both wins were 2023 but she's largely consistent and is effective over C&D; place claims
5 (9)	Dandy Lichious Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	135	—	709-84	44	56	28	10d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Hasn't achieved much in Britain; well held by Monsieur Fantaisie over C&D last twice
8 (8)	Perfect Curves Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Patrick Morris	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Patrick Morris	135	p	0878-5	42	56	43	18d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Low-level form, which she showed again on recent stable debut, but she needs better
9 (7)	Rockley Point Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Katie Scott	J:Darragh Keenan T:Katie Scott	135	v	4-3850	46	58	49	2d	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Last of 12 here on Thursday and it's an age since he ran over this far
4 (1)	Curious Mrs Fox Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:David Thompson	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:David Thompson	135	h	36509-	42	58	-	102d	—	—	-1	1.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Switch to AW did not go well; hooded on this first run since leaving John Davies
7 (2)	Mr Coco Bean Bay J:James Sullivan T:Helen Cuthbert	J:James Sullivan T:Helen Cuthbert	135	p	776-78	43	56	33	15d	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Veteran who last won in 2021; some ability remains and he has a chance for minor honours
3 (3)	Brave Musketeer Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Ian McInnes	135	b	530-80	36	47	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Made debut only last October and he's beaten very few of his rivals; different headgear

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Believe Me Now	6/4	7/4	13/8	13/8	13/8
Monsieur Fantaisie	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2
Elettaria	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	10/3
Dandy Lichious	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	8/1
Perfect Curves	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Rockley Point	22/1	28/1	25/1	33/1	20/1
Curious Mrs Fox	50/1	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Mr Coco Bean	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Brave Musketeer	100/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Believe Me Now

21.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

7/4

2nd

Monsieur Fantaisie

8.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

3rd

Elettaria

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Dandy Lichious

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Perfect Curves

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Curious Mrs Fox

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Rockley Point

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Mr Coco Bean

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Brave Musketeer

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Monsieur Fantaisie	51	64	54
Believe Me Now	50	65	43
Elettaria	46	59	54
Rockley Point	46	58	49
Dandy Lichious	44	56	28
Mr Coco Bean	43	56	33
Perfect Curves	42	56	43
Curious Mrs Fox	42	58	—
Brave Musketeer	36	47	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rockley Point	2d ago	Quick return
Monsieur Fantaisie	10d ago	Quick return
Dandy Lichious	10d ago	Quick return
Believe Me Now	15d ago	Fit
Mr Coco Bean	15d ago	Fit
Brave Musketeer	15d ago	Fit
Perfect Curves	18d ago	Fit
Elettaria	23d ago	Fit
Curious Mrs Fox	102d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.