Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:05

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap

Date 2025-01-25

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 11.92s (slow by 1.52s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mesaafi (GB) Jason Hart · Simon Pearce	12/1	Won
2nd	Northcliff (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Michael Keady	5/1	2
3rd	Tomorrow Day (GB) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Mark Usher	9/4F	1
4th	Bazball (IRE) Aiden Brookes · Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	66/1	0.2
5th	Dicko The Legend (IRE) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	4/1	2.25
6th	Emily Post (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael Dods	16/1	1.25
7th	Havana Sky (GB) Cieren Fallon · Ed Dunlop	13/2	0.1
8th	Parisiac (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	14/1	1
9th	Moyola (GB) Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	7/1	.75
10th	Rory (GB) Lauren Young · Jim Goldie	33/1	8.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (1)	Tomorrow Day Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Mark Usher	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Mark Usher	128	tv	415-21	65	87	68	11d	—	—	-18	13.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Made it 5-9 on AW when scoring over C&D 11 days ago; big player again up 5lb
5 (7)	Dicko The Legend Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	132	—	504-46	69	85	75	15d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-8	10	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Had an excuse back at 5f latest and he ran well over C&D on penultimate run; in the mix
3 (6)	Northcliff Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Keady	J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Keady	133	p	93397-	70	85	35	138d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	11	1.38/1	11/2 15%
On last winning mark but he has bit to prove back from 138 days off; market informative
4 (10)	Havana Sky Brown J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed Dunlop	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	111-45	70	82	70	12d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-3	8.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won his final five runs in 2024 but he's been vulnerable in two starts this year
7 (9)	Moyola Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	129	t	0530-0	66	86	64	24d	—	—	-3	6.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Dual course winner but he's finished tenth here last twice; needs to get back on track
6 (8)	Emily Post Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Dods	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael Dods	130	h	U420-7	67	85	70	14d	—	—	-1	6.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Went close over C&D last month but she's finished in rear in both runs since
2 (2)	Mesaafi Bay J:Jason Hart T:Simon Pearce	J:Jason Hart T:Simon Pearce	134	b	4332-0	71	85	73	19d	—	—	+1	6.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-10 but he's been generally consistent and is not ruled out in new headgear
1 (5)	Parisiac Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	135	p	1592-5	72	84	77	17d	—	—	+1	7.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Six-time turf winner but he's 0-11 on AW and was beaten 8l here (5f) last time
10 (4)	Rory Chestnut J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	126	—	660-08	63	81	65	8d	—	—	+1	4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Has struggled in his last five runs and he needs a big turnaround
9 (3)	Bazball Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	126	p	79000-	63	78	37	27d	—	—	+2	3.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Has struggled in last six starts and has lots to prove for another new yard; new headgear

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tomorrow Day	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	15/8
Dicko The Legend	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Northcliff	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Havana Sky	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2
Moyola	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1	7/1
Emily Post	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Mesaafi	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Parisiac	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Rory	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Bazball	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tomorrow Day

13.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10

9/4

2nd

Northcliff

OR: 5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Dicko The Legend

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Havana Sky

8.3

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Parisiac

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Moyola

6.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Mesaafi

6.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Emily Post

6.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Rory

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Bazball

3.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Parisiac	72	84	77
Mesaafi	71	85	73
Northcliff	70	85	35
Havana Sky	70	82	70
Dicko The Legend	69	85	75
Emily Post	67	85	70
Moyola	66	86	64
Tomorrow Day	65	87	68
Rory	63	81	65
Bazball	63	78	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rory	8d ago	Quick return
Tomorrow Day	11d ago	Quick return
Havana Sky	12d ago	Quick return
Emily Post	14d ago	Fit
Dicko The Legend	15d ago	Fit
Parisiac	17d ago	Fit
Mesaafi	19d ago	Fit
Moyola	24d ago	Fit
Bazball	27d ago	Fit
Northcliff	138d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.