BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:35

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2025-01-25

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,956

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Society Man Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	/419-2	91	106	74	19d	—	—	-5	24.1	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Ex-French 5yo; unexposed on AW and was good second at Wolverhampton on recent stable debut
1 (3)	Brewing Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:William Haggas	J:Harry Burns(3) T:William Haggas	135	t	0643-5	93	107	89	19d	—	—	-3	16.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
5-11 on AW but he was disappointing at Wolverhampton last time; tongue-tie is now tried
5 (2)	Zip Grey J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	127	v	63115-	85	105	87	42d	—	—	+12	25.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two front-running wins in November, including over C&D; dangerous if he gets an easy lead
4 (4)	Empirestateofmind Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	131	b	0166-5	89	104	65	24d	—	—	0	13.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won at York in October and has run creditably back on AW last twice; in the mix
7 (6)	Enola Grey Grey J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	123	—	241-25	81	105	87	10d	—	—	0	10.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Last three wins have been against her own sex and she didn't fire at Southwell last time
6 (7)	Daring Legend Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	124	—	1139-4	82	104	59	11d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+2	10.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Two wins last summer but progress has stalled since; needs to find more back up in trip
3 (5)	Tropez Power Bay J:James Sullivan T:John & Sean Quinn	J:James Sullivan T:John & Sean Quinn	131	—	22403-	89	105	84	141d	—	—	+11	16.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Four-time AW winner; has won when fresh in the past and he needs a close look on return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Society Man	9/4	5/2	9/4	7/4	9/4
Brewing	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Zip	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Empirestateofmind	6/1	11/2	11/2	15/2	11/2
Enola Grey	8/1	15/2	15/2	9/1	15/2
Daring Legend	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Tropez Power	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zip

25.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Society Man

24.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

5/2

3rd

Tropez Power

16.9

OR: 9.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Brewing

16.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Empirestateofmind

13.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

15/2

Enola Grey

10.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Daring Legend

10.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brewing	93	107	89
Society Man	91	106	74
Empirestateofmind	89	104	65
Tropez Power	89	105	84
Zip	85	105	87
Daring Legend	82	104	59
Enola Grey	81	105	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Enola Grey	10d ago	Quick return
Daring Legend	11d ago	Quick return
Society Man	19d ago	Fit
Brewing	19d ago	Fit
Empirestateofmind	24d ago	Fit
Zip	42d ago	Fit
Tropez Power	141d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.