Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:40

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2025-02-01

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Lady Dreamer Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	135	tv	6973-4	76	90	81	25d	—	—	-10	13.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
On a fair mark on last year's best; respectable efforts from wide draws the last twice
3 (3)	Ultramarine Bay J:Alexandra McDonnell(7) T:David Evans	J:Alexandra McDonnell(7) T:David Evans	134	—	22276-	75	91	75	52d	—	—	-6	18.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Not at best when last seen but the type to quickly bounce back; best course form at 7f
5 (2)	Ben Y Bryn Bay J:Jason Watson T:Charles Hills	J:Jason Watson T:Charles Hills	132	—	4641/	73	-	-	455d	—	—	+5	20.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
6f win at Chelmsford when last seen but that was 455 days ago; gelded since last seen
7 (1)	Prince Of Bel Lir Bay J:David Probert T:Joseph Parr	J:David Probert T:Joseph Parr	125	p	020-13	66	88	74	12d	—	—	-3	6.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2nd and 1st in two C&D runs; solid effort at Kempton last time; should be involved again
4 (6)	Siobhanbrogan Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Hugo Palmer	J:Hollie Doyle T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	/3140-	74	86	-	269d	—	—	+6	14.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D win last February; well held in two handicaps but with excuses; unexposed
2 (4)	Sovereign Knight Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Amy Murphy	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Amy Murphy	134	tp	08157-	75	89	69	32d	—	—	+5	13.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Not the most consistent but capable on his good days and this mark is manageable
8 (8)	Monsieur Patat Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Adrian Wintle	J:Tyler Heard T:Adrian Wintle	120	—	6540-7	61	90	82	19d	—	—	-2	4.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three wins, two here, last year; dangerous mark but in a higher grade than he's used to
6 (7)	Macanudo Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(5) T:Ian Williams	126	—	2278-8	67	87	64	14d	—	—	0	5.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
0-14 for this yard but often ran well in 2024; low-key return last month; better than that

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Lady Dreamer	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Ultramarine	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	9/4
Ben Y Bryn	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Prince Of Bel Lir	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Siobhanbrogan	8/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Sovereign Knight	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Monsieur Patat	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Macanudo	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ben Y Bryn

20.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

6/1

2nd

Ultramarine

18.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Siobhanbrogan

14.3

OR: 6 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Lady Dreamer

13.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Sovereign Knight

13.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Prince Of Bel Lir

6.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Macanudo

5.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Monsieur Patat

4.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Dreamer	76	90	81
Ultramarine	75	91	75
Sovereign Knight	75	89	69
Siobhanbrogan	74	86	—
Ben Y Bryn	73	—	—
Macanudo	67	87	64
Prince Of Bel Lir	66	88	74
Monsieur Patat	61	90	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Prince Of Bel Lir	12d ago	Quick return
Macanudo	14d ago	Fit
Monsieur Patat	19d ago	Fit
Lady Dreamer	25d ago	Fit
Sovereign Knight	32d ago	Fit
Ultramarine	52d ago	Fresh
Siobhanbrogan	269d ago	Long break
Ben Y Bryn	455d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.