Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Fillies' Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

20:00

Date 2025-02-05

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 2m 19.80s (slow by 1.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kinetic (IRE) Warren Fentiman · James Owen	5/2J	Won
2nd	Sid's Annie (GB) Charles Bishop · Mark Usher	9/2	0
3rd	Always Waving (GER) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	5/2J	4
4th	Shady Bay (IRE) Sean Levey · Tom Ward	10/1	1
5th	Tiptoe (GB) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	25/1	4
6th	Storm Valley (GB) Callum Shepherd · Matt Crawley	8/1	2.5
7th	Last Empress (GB) Rossa Ryan · David Menuisier	6/1	7

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Kinetic Bay J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:James Owen	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:James Owen	136	v	506-26	69	80	46	12d	—	—	-12	12.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Capable filly but only sixth last time and inconsistency is creeping in; tries a visor
3 (1)	Always Waving Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	—	2/71-4	66	77	54	22d	—	—	-10	13.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
1m3f novice winner; 4th on handicap debut in a race that didn't pan out too favourably
2 (6)	Sid's Annie Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Mark Usher	J:Charles Bishop T:Mark Usher	134	—	2/70-4	66	77	44	29d	—	—	-4	10.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Third run back from an absence when making some late gains over 9.4f last month
7 (7)	Last Empress Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Menuisier	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Menuisier	128	—	/3440-	61	78	43	38d	—	—	-6	7.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Fair fourth here on stable debut and perhaps didn't enjoy switching to Tapeta last time
5 (3)	Storm Valley Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Matt Crawley	J:Callum Shepherd T:Matt Crawley	131	—	/2171-	63	75	-	275d	—	—	+12	22.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has done well since joining Matt Crawley but has to defy an absence of 275 days
4 (4)	Shady Bay Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	132	t	3915-8	65	78	37	21d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Southwell win has worked out but struggled since; hooded last time and now tongue tied
6 (2)	Tiptoe Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	130	—	51/5-7	63	74	37	20d	—	—	+1	4.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Maiden winner but has finished last in two handicaps, both after absences

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kinetic	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Always Waving	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Sid's Annie	5/1	11/2	6/1	5/1	6/1
Last Empress	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2
Storm Valley	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2
Shady Bay	10/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Tiptoe	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Storm Valley

22.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Always Waving

13.8

OR: 4 Form: 2.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Kinetic

12.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.4

5/2

Sid's Annie

10.5

OR: 4 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4

6/1

Last Empress

7.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Shady Bay

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Tiptoe

4.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kinetic	69	80	46
Always Waving	66	77	54
Sid's Annie	66	77	44
Shady Bay	65	78	37
Storm Valley	63	75	—
Tiptoe	63	74	37
Last Empress	61	78	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kinetic	12d ago	Quick return
Tiptoe	20d ago	Fit
Shady Bay	21d ago	Fit
Always Waving	22d ago	Fit
Sid's Annie	29d ago	Fit
Last Empress	38d ago	Fit
Storm Valley	275d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.