Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-02-08

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 41.76s (slow by 4.76s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Blast The Dream (GB) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	3/1	Won
2nd	West Tyrone (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	4/1	0.1
3rd	Saxonia (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	5/2F	0.1
4th	Golden Thorn (IRE) Jason Watson · Andrew Balding	15/2	2.25
5th	Lady Mariko (GB) Sean D Bowen · Simon & Ed Crisford	17/2	0.05
6th	Mayor Of Maghera (GB) Rowan Scott · Phillip Makin	10/1	.5
7th	Bantz (IRE) Joanna Mason · Gemma Tutty	14/1	2.25

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Blast The Dream Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	135	—	52-1	75	84	55	16d	—	—	-6	26.3	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Off the mark at Southwell last month and form franked by the fourth; big player
5 (7)	Saxonia Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	5454-	68	80	-	182d	—	—	-10	10.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Makes AW debut after six months off having been gelded since last seen; market informative
6 (6)	West Tyrone Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	127	p	446-	67	77	51	67d	—	—	-7	8.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Some ability last year but still has to prove his stamina; cheekpieces on
3 (1)	Golden Thorn Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	132	—	62-4	72	83	57	31d	—	—	-4	9.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Second at Kempton on second start and endured a wide trip there last time; better expected
2 (4)	Lady Mariko Bay J:Sean D Bowen T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Sean D Bowen T:Simon & Ed Crisford	132	—	456-	72	79	69	41d	—	—	0	7.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Showed promise in all three starts late last year; extra furlong should suit; shortlisted
4 (3)	Mayor Of Maghera Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	129	—	3645-5	69	80	63	22d	—	—	-1	7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Running well but may need this to be truly run; could be vulnerable to less exposed types
7 (5)	Bantz Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	120	—	85-931	60	81	61	18d	—	—	-2	4.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Narrowly off the mark over 7f here last time; should stay 1m but vulnerable to an improver

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Blast The Dream	15/8	2/1	15/8	15/8	13/8
Saxonia	10/3	11/4	10/3	3/1	4/1
West Tyrone	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2	11/2
Golden Thorn	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2	6/1
Lady Mariko	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Mayor Of Maghera	11/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	12/1
Bantz	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blast The Dream

26.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 10

2/1

2nd

Saxonia

10.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

3rd

Golden Thorn

9.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

West Tyrone

8.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Lady Mariko

7.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Mayor Of Maghera

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Bantz

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blast The Dream	75	84	55
Golden Thorn	72	83	57
Lady Mariko	72	79	69
Mayor Of Maghera	69	80	63
Saxonia	68	80	—
West Tyrone	67	77	51
Bantz	60	81	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blast The Dream	16d ago	Fit
Bantz	18d ago	Fit
Mayor Of Maghera	22d ago	Fit
Golden Thorn	31d ago	Fit
Lady Mariko	41d ago	Fit
West Tyrone	67d ago	Fresh
Saxonia	182d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.