Fancave Cheltenham Preview Here 6th March Mares' Open NH Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB)

Warwick

16:23

Date 2025-02-08

Distance 2m

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £8,978

Winning Time 3m 52.97s (slow by 25.97s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Strong Run (GB) Jonathan Burke · Fergal O'Brien	11/10F	Won
2nd	Highland Haven (GB) Liam Harrison · Fergal O'Brien	12/1	0.2
3rd	Roses All The Way (IRE) Theo Gillard · Donald McCain	9/2	4.5
4th	Rene's Walk (GB) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	16/1	3
5th	Madame La Papillon (GB) Alice Stevens · L J Morgan	22/1	4
6th	Sharp Glance (GB) Philip Armson · Alan King	16/1	3
7th	Dancing Sky (IRE) Charlie Hammond · Suzy Smith	25/1	13
8th	Ourbrowneyedgirl (IRE) Lucy Gardner · Sue Gardner	22/1	1.5
9th	Gone Girl (IRE) Miss Olive Nicholls · Oliver Signy	40/1	1.75
10th	Kill The Groove (IRE) Callum Pritchard · Ben Pauling	16/1	1
11th	Miss Denver (GB) Tom Bellamy · Nigel Twiston-Davies	16/1	13
12th	Blacksambelle (GB) Ben Poste · John O'Shea	150/1	12
13th	Doctor Mina (FR) Lorcan Williams · Paul Nicholls	11/1	6

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13	Strong Run Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	156	—	23	-	119	112	84d	—	—	-19	18.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Third in Listed mares' bumper at Cheltenham and leading claims now back down in grade
11	Roses All The Way Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	156	—	2-22	-	117	48	62d	—	—	-8	7.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Listed runner-up at Huntingdon last time and strong contender on that form
5	Doctor Mina Chestnut J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	156	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Closely related to connections' smart jumper Quel Destin; could play leading role on debut
7	Kill The Groove Brown J:Callum Pritchard T:Ben Pauling	J:Callum Pritchard T:Ben Pauling	156	—	3-U	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	2.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Third in point-to-point bumper; has joined a good yard for her rules career; check betting
8	Miss Denver Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Tom Bellamy T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Half-sister to four winners and no surprise to see a good run on debut
10	Rene's Walk Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	156	—	4	-	102	94	73d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Only fourth at Wetherby on debut but open to improvement for leading stable
1	Highland Haven Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal O'Brien	160	—	16	-	112	57	62d	—	—	+2	8.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won on debut at Ffos Las; soundly beaten sixth in Listed event but could bounce back
12	Sharp Glance Bay J:Philip Armson T:Alan King	J:Philip Armson T:Alan King	156	—	5	-	100	70	66d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Close fifth on debut at Ludlow and a stronger gallop could help today; not ruled out
2	Madame La Papillon Bay J:Alice Stevens T:L J Morgan	J:Alice Stevens T:L J Morgan	160	—	1-	-	98	83	328d	—	—	+6	11.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won on debut at Huntingdon last March; it was a modest race but she's open to improvement
9	Ourbrowneyedgirl Bay J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	156	—	82	-	103	75	64d	—	—	+2	6.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
80-1 second at Exeter on second start but further improvement is needed today
6	Gone Girl Bay J:Miss Olive Nicholls T:Oliver Signy	J:Miss Olive Nicholls T:Oliver Signy	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
6,000euros 3yo; sibling to winners but probably best watched on debut
4	Dancing Sky Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Suzy Smith	J:Charlie Hammond T:Suzy Smith	156	—	U51-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+8	9.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Changed hands for £22,000 after point win; yard 3-17 (18%) in bumpers in past five seasons
3	Blacksambelle Brown J:Ben Poste T:John O'Shea	J:Ben Poste T:John O'Shea	156	—	9-	-	82	34	290d	—	—	-1	0.4	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well beaten when 25-1 at Uttoxeter (2m, soft) last April on her sole start
NR	Deauville Lady Bay J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	144	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Dam useful for connections but trainer isn't known for bumper winners

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Strong Run	11/8	11/8	5/4	5/4	11/8
Roses All The Way	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Doctor Mina	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Kill The Groove	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Miss Denver	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Rene's Walk	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Highland Haven	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Sharp Glance	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Madame La Papillon	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Ourbrowneyedgirl	16/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Gone Girl	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Dancing Sky	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Blacksambelle	200/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	100/1
Deauville Lady	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Strong Run

18.3

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Madame La Papillon

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

20/1

3rd

Dancing Sky

9.8

OR: 0 Form: 9.3 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Highland Haven

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Roses All The Way

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Ourbrowneyedgirl

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Doctor Mina

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Kill The Groove

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Miss Denver

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Rene's Walk

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Sharp Glance

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Gone Girl

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Blacksambelle

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200/1

Deauville Lady

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Strong Run	—	119	112
Roses All The Way	—	117	48
Doctor Mina	—	—	—
Kill The Groove	—	—	—
Miss Denver	—	—	—
Rene's Walk	—	102	94
Highland Haven	—	112	57
Sharp Glance	—	100	70
Madame La Papillon	—	98	83
Ourbrowneyedgirl	—	103	75
Gone Girl	—	—	—
Dancing Sky	—	—	—
Blacksambelle	—	82	34
Deauville Lady	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Roses All The Way	62d ago	Fresh
Highland Haven	62d ago	Fresh
Ourbrowneyedgirl	64d ago	Fresh
Sharp Glance	66d ago	Fresh
Rene's Walk	73d ago	Fresh
Strong Run	84d ago	Fresh
Blacksambelle	290d ago	Long break
Madame La Papillon	328d ago	Long break
Doctor Mina	—	—
Kill The Groove	—	—
Miss Denver	—	—
Gone Girl	—	—
Dancing Sky	—	—
Deauville Lady	—	—