Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

13:30

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes

Date 2025-02-12

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,942

Winning Time 1m 29.22s (slow by 4.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Surrey Shadow (GB) Neil Callan · Tom Clover	15/8F	Won
2nd	Commanding Prince (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	2/1	0.2
3rd	Groovy Baby (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	11/2	.5
4th	Picturesque (GB) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	100/30	1.5
5th	Pocket Too (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	125/1	12
6th	It's Tim (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	80/1	2

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Surrey Shadow Grey J:Neil Callan T:Tom Clover	J:Neil Callan T:Tom Clover	130	—	243-	82	92	-	222d	—	—	-7	22.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
222-day absence since is a nagging worry, but one of the form picks and looked promising
2 (2)	Commanding Prince Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-21	9.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Half-brother to Derby winner Masar; gelded last May; left Godolphin for 25,000gns October
7 (7)	Picturesque Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	125	—	3-	-	87	39	54d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
If she builds on her C&D debut third even a little she should be seriously involved again
6 (4)	Groovy Baby Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	125	h	2222-4	72	93	87	23d	—	—	-6	10.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ten-race maiden, runner-up in six; highest RPR last time when back to 7f from 1m; player
3 (1)	It's Tim Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	130	—	6	-	67	50	14d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
14-1 for Kempton maiden (1m, Polytrack) two weeks ago, beaten 13l; needs huge improvement
4 (5)	Pocket Too Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	130	—	72-	-	68	42	46d	—	—	+3	5.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Runner-up in a 1m3f novice here on second Flat start (modest form); big rethink on trip
NR (3)	First Ambition Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	137	—	1	-	85	47	41d	—	—	—	10	—	—
1st foal of Group 1 winner Laurens; green but won maiden at Newcastle (7f, Tapeta); gelded

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Surrey Shadow	15/8	7/4	7/4	15/8	9/4
Commanding Prince	15/8	2/1	15/8	15/8	7/4
Picturesque	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Groovy Baby	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
It's Tim	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Pocket Too	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
First Ambition	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Surrey Shadow

22.4

OR: 8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Groovy Baby

10.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.9

9/2

3rd

First Ambition

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Commanding Prince

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

2/1

Picturesque

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Pocket Too

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

It's Tim

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Surrey Shadow	82	92	—
Groovy Baby	72	93	87
Commanding Prince	—	—	—
Picturesque	—	87	39
It's Tim	—	67	50
Pocket Too	—	68	42
First Ambition	—	85	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
It's Tim	14d ago	Fit
Groovy Baby	23d ago	Fit
First Ambition	41d ago	Fit
Pocket Too	46d ago	Fresh
Picturesque	54d ago	Fresh
Surrey Shadow	222d ago	Long break
Commanding Prince	—	—