Betfair Racing Podcasts Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Ascot

16:10

Date 2025-02-15

Distance 2m3f58y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £13,008

Winning Time 4m 51.24s (slow by 17.24s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	First Confession (IRE) Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	2/1	Won
2nd	Crest Of Fortune (GB) Harry Cobden · Anthony Honeyball	4/6F	4.5
3rd	Groovy Blue (GB) Ben Jones · Ben Pauling	12/1	9.5
4th	Old Cowboy (GB) David Noonan · Gary & Josh Moore	12/1	1.25

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Crest Of Fortune Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Harry Cobden T:Anthony Honeyball	161	b	15-122	124	133	103	45d	—	—	-15	36.4	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Latest effort took his hurdles form figures to 122; solid claims in first-time headgear
2	First Confession Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	161	—	1-317	126	129	107	49d	—	—	+9	33.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Well held in the Challow; won comfortably over C&D the time before; respected back here
5	Old Cowboy Bay J:David Noonan T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:David Noonan T:Gary & Josh Moore	156	—	42-33	-	127	117	14d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Heavy ground was a possible excuse last time but this isn't an easy task
4	Groovy Blue Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	156	—	8-16P	-	108	68	48d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Folded tamely last time; had wind surgery since; needs a big step forward
NR	Kingston Pride Grey J:TBC T:Nicky Henderson	J: T:Nicky Henderson	161	—	/21-1P	-	131	103	71d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Soft ground probably contributed to his Grade 2 flop last time; retains potential
NR	Just A Rose Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Paul Nicholls	J:NON-RUNNER T:Paul Nicholls	154	—	1-1	-	139	-	28d	—	—	—	17	—	—

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Crest Of Fortune	8/13	4/6	4/6	4/6	4/6
First Confession	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Old Cowboy	10/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
Groovy Blue	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Kingston Pride	-	-	-	-	-
Just A Rose	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crest Of Fortune

36.4

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 17.9

4/6

2nd

First Confession

33.3

OR: 19 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Just A Rose

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 0

—

Old Cowboy

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Groovy Blue

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Kingston Pride

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
First Confession	126	129	107
Crest Of Fortune	124	133	103
Old Cowboy	—	127	117
Groovy Blue	—	108	68
Kingston Pride	—	131	103
Just A Rose	—	139	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Old Cowboy	14d ago	Fit
Just A Rose	28d ago	Fit
Crest Of Fortune	45d ago	Fit
Groovy Blue	48d ago	Fresh
First Confession	49d ago	Fresh
Kingston Pride	71d ago	Fresh